NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	4.3 [965]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +28.5%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	1.1 [1168]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -8.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	23	62%	0.14	3	-0.03	12	100%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	9	45%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.02
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	51%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rawle Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
DJ Mbenga	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	20	45%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.04	-0.05	9	117%	0.26	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	-0.00	0.06	16	78%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	13	85%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	48%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	9	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	4	40%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.5	28.4	19.8	27.4	3.6	33.2	144.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.5%

DAL -11.0%

DAL -13.9%

PHX +15.3%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.6	111.8	125.8	104.4
season	16.4	13.8		109.0	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		105.8	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.0	18.2	15.2	14.8	16.5
PHX	13.3	16.9	11.5	17.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rawle Marshall	2	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-11	9	9.5	16.6	-7.14	10.3	14.6	-4.29
Erick Dampier	37	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-14	15	15.0	17.5	-2.46	13.9	14.9	-0.91
Devin Harris	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-11	9	18.2	16.2	2.03	14.6	14.5	0.15
Josh Powell	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-9	5	15.6	16.9	-1.31	12.5	15.5	-3.00
Darrell Armstrong	53	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-12	11	15.4	17.9	-2.44	14.6	14.3	0.24
DJ Mbenga	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-4	-5	19.2	15.5	3.71	15.0	14.3	0.70
Marquis Daniels	42	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-5	-3	16.7	16.3	0.33	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Adrian Griffin	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	16.3	16.6	-0.37	15.3	13.9	1.41
Jason Terry	78	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-9	5	16.4	17.1	-0.69	14.7	13.4	1.31
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	0	-13	17.2	13.0	4.15	14.6	13.8	0.82
Josh Howard	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	5	-23	16.8	15.8	0.99	15.2	12.7	2.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	55	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.20	26	-13	39	14.4	14.6	-0.21	17.5	14.9	2.60
Shawn Marion	67	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-7	27	13.6	16.9	-3.33	16.6	16.2	0.32
Raja Bell	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-4	21	13.9	15.7	-1.79	16.7	16.0	0.74
Tim Thomas	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.05	17	-4	21	13.6	16.5	-2.88	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Boris Diaw	72	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-2	17	15.4	11.3	4.07	16.9	15.0	1.89
Leandro Barbosa	50	48	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.27	-7	20	-27	13.8	15.3	-1.44	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Brian Grant	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.8	13.3	4.54	17.0	16.3	0.65
James Jones	33	32	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	17	-21	15.5	13.9	1.50	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Eddie House	36	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.32	-13	26	-39	14.8	14.3	0.57	15.0	17.4	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 96, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 96, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%