inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 116 Excitement4.3 [978] MVPKevin Martin (OKC): +16.7%
Golden State Warriors 97 Comeback1.4 [927] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -9.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.230.010.0710100%0.171-0.013100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.01-0.041171%0.142-0.022100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.07-0.00856%0.1200.00250%-0.00
Kevin Durant0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.140.010.061674%0.194-0.101090%0.02
Kendrick Perkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Daniel Orton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.000.04367%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00744%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Nick Collison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.03-0.031747%0.066-0.10475%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021263%0.081-0.02683%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.001859%0.114-0.081100%0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.00450%-0.02
Harrison Barnes0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.02850%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03250%0.0110.00250%-0.01
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02262%0.0000.00425%-0.03
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01762%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Andris Biedrins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05533%-0.001-0.0020%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
David Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.020.031348%-0.013-0.071100%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.02-0.031027%-0.082-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.53.434.918.629.53.528.7141.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +39.4%
OKC +12.3%
OKC +0.2%
GSW -2.9%
OKC +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.413.315.4112.692.4104.1
season14.814.6109.3104.6
opponent15.315.5103.7100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.312.716.015.914.4
GSW13.913.913.411.813.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant74790.60-0.100.70-0.1325-63114.015.6-1.6113.113.8-0.76
Thabo Sefolosha47490.490.010.47-0.041811713.615.1-1.5714.612.12.43
Serge Ibaka61630.440.060.39-0.061721513.715.5-1.8913.912.31.57
Russell Westbrook66670.430.070.370.08127514.115.1-0.9813.213.3-0.10
Kendrick Perkins39390.300.200.09-0.09136712.315.7-3.4113.613.10.50
Hasheem Thabeet37360.110.39-0.290.05217-1515.913.62.3713.613.10.55
Derek Fisher40410.070.43-0.36-0.11613-715.213.91.3513.213.3-0.05
Nick Collison36370.060.44-0.380.00217-1515.913.62.3312.813.5-0.68
Kevin Martin42430.020.48-0.47-0.01118-1714.914.10.8112.214.0-1.81
Ronnie Brewer15140.000.50-0.500.00019-1914.914.30.5912.913.3-0.40
Daniel Orton12110.000.50-0.500.00019-1914.814.40.4611.813.4-1.63
Reggie Jackson4646-0.010.51-0.520.02-120-2115.513.51.9812.713.7-1.03

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andris Biedrins13140.07-0.570.64-0.054-232712.213.4-1.2815.814.21.57
Draymond Green32340.04-0.540.570.10-2-171512.913.4-0.4914.914.20.64
Richard Jefferson2324-0.02-0.480.450.00-1-181713.813.10.7015.714.01.72
Kent Bazemore1818-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-171512.113.5-1.4115.414.21.17
Andrew Bogut2120-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-12514.513.01.5612.514.9-2.39
Carl Landry4747-0.17-0.330.150.09-9-10112.314.1-1.8515.313.71.68
Jarrett Jack6463-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-14912.614.3-1.6714.514.30.17
Festus Ezeli4344-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-4-151114.112.71.4214.714.30.40
Stephen Curry7975-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.02-9-10113.213.4-0.2013.915.9-1.96
David Lee7167-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-18-1-1713.612.70.8913.915.3-1.39
Harrison Barnes4644-0.520.02-0.540.21-256-3113.812.90.8614.214.6-0.43
Klay Thompson6865-0.550.05-0.60-0.05-17-2-1513.612.70.9314.214.9-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 104, BOS 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
GSW 121, LAC 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
SAC 87, DEN 760.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,095.5%