NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	4.0 [972]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +11.9%
Boston Celtics	81		Comeback	1.1 [888]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -12.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	5	42%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.02	17	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	20	55%	-0.03	2	-0.04	15	67%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	10	41%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	17	43%	0.04	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	14	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	18	35%	-0.12	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.3	16.8	22.3	2.7	26.3	120.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.6%

SAC +5.4%

SAC +2.3%

SAC +19.6%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.5	108.3	86.2	100.9
season	14.4	15.1		103.1	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	16.8	14.7	16.1	15.4
BOS	15.7	13.8	14.7	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	81	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.28	27	-4	31	15.1	17.2	-2.08	15.1	13.5	1.64
Chris Webber	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.31	28	-5	33	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.0	14.3	0.68
Jason Williams	60	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	4	15	14.7	16.7	-1.99	15.1	14.5	0.54
Hedo Turkoglu	63	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	7	9	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.1	14.4	0.76
Vlade Divac	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	8	7	15.2	15.8	-0.64	15.3	14.3	1.08
Scot Pollard	44	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.17	8	15	-7	15.8	15.2	0.64	14.3	15.3	-1.08
Bobby Jackson	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	19	-15	16.7	14.7	1.99	14.5	15.1	-0.54
Nick Anderson	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	24	-25	16.4	15.3	1.10	13.3	15.2	-1.82
Jon Barry	24	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.20	7	16	-9	17.2	14.9	2.29	14.2	15.1	-0.85
Darrick Martin	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	15.4	15.4	-0.02	15.0	14.9	0.15
Lawrence Funderburke	21	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.13	-5	28	-33	15.9	15.3	0.58	14.3	15.0	-0.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	15.0	14.9	0.15	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Milt Palacio	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-25	27	15.4	14.8	0.67	17.5	15.1	2.40
Walter McCarty	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-19	15	15.8	14.7	1.05	12.0	16.0	-4.04
Kenny Anderson	52	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-12	1	13.6	16.5	-2.92	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Paul Pierce	67	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-13	3	14.5	15.8	-1.34	16.8	12.5	4.24
Eric Williams	19	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	-12	1	16.5	14.5	2.02	13.0	16.1	-3.13
Adrian Griffin	21	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-17	11	14.2	15.1	-0.86	14.5	15.7	-1.17
Tony Battie	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-13	3	14.7	15.0	-0.26	15.3	15.6	-0.22
Vitaly Potapenko	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-13	3	14.7	15.0	-0.34	15.5	15.3	0.18
Randy Brown	29	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.07	-14	-9	-5	16.6	14.1	2.54	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Bryant Stith	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	-1	-21	15.1	14.0	1.05	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Antoine Walker	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	-1	-21	14.9	14.8	0.13	16.1	13.3	2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, MEM 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
ORL 97, DAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.8%
OKC 116, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%