inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 78 Excitement6.4 [513] MVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): +9.2%
Toronto Raptors 88 Comeback7.0 [316] LVPRudy Gay (TOR): -18.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jan Vesely0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.011650%0.083-0.09250%-0.02
Trevor Ariza-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00944%0.011-0.0200%0.00
A.J. Price-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.03629%-0.0100.00540%-0.05
Cartier Martin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.00650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00350%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Garrett Temple-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Trevor Booker-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00133%-0.021-0.04450%-0.02
Nene-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.001246%-0.023-0.072100%0.02
John Wall-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09-0.03-0.040.021745%-0.042-0.0510100%0.04
Martell Webster-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.01820%-0.121-0.03450%-0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.02775%0.163-0.071889%0.04
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.05-0.02853%0.121-0.031100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.05-0.002153%0.143-0.07560%-0.02
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00175%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00580%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.00520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.01841%-0.032-0.05667%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.05-0.00830%-0.064-0.12450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.028.215.632.41.734.3139.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +45.9%
TOR +10.8%
WAS -2.3%
WAS -5.3%
TOR +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game15.814.915.483.992.6104.1
season15.116.198.8104.4
opponent15.315.7105.8101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.215.218.213.515.8
TOR12.614.213.919.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Seraphin20220.12-0.620.730.033-131614.916.0-1.1114.015.2-1.20
A.J. Price34350.09-0.590.69-0.179-192814.916.3-1.3117.413.44.00
Cartier Martin32350.06-0.560.61-0.126-162215.515.9-0.4213.615.6-2.02
Trevor Booker3131-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-101016.815.31.5513.815.4-1.58
Nene6262-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-6215.815.70.0515.513.71.76
Trevor Ariza6668-0.25-0.250.01-0.250-101015.017.7-2.7715.313.71.63
Garrett Temple3130-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-111-1218.014.63.3913.515.5-1.96
Emeka Okafor6465-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-8-2-615.516.4-0.9315.912.73.18
Jan Vesely89-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.03-111-1217.415.61.7511.015.3-4.28
Martell Webster5150-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-133-1616.415.01.4114.914.80.10
John Wall6668-0.680.18-0.86-0.07-2111-3215.416.6-1.1514.116.8-2.71

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan75730.73-0.230.970.1520-103014.416.6-2.2515.915.40.48
Jonas Valanciunas81790.65-0.150.800.1517-72414.318.1-3.7515.616.7-1.11
Landry Fields33320.59-0.090.670.2312-21417.213.63.5414.516.4-1.89
Kyle Lowry74720.51-0.010.530.1313-31614.316.9-2.5515.716.1-0.48
Amir Johnson68670.330.170.150.1564215.613.02.6715.715.9-0.21
Rudy Gay51510.170.33-0.16-0.0473413.816.1-2.3116.514.91.67
Quincy Acy3939-0.010.51-0.520.11-414-1814.715.0-0.3116.515.31.23
Sebastian Telfair2121-0.010.51-0.530.07-313-1616.914.32.5516.115.70.48
Alan Anderson1816-0.180.68-0.860.06-818-2614.714.9-0.2614.716.0-1.31
Terrence Ross1515-0.280.78-1.060.01-1020-3016.114.61.4215.815.80.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 86, DAL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,192.8%
DET 82, CHI 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.99,1,1,192.6%
CHA 84, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,192.0%