NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	78		Excitement	6.4 [513]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +9.2%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	7.0 [316]		LVP	Rudy Gay (TOR): -18.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Nene	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	17	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.04
Martell Webster	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	20%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.16	3	-0.07	18	89%	0.04
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	8	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	21	53%	0.14	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	8	30%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	28.2	15.6	32.4	1.7	34.3	139.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.9%

TOR +10.8%

WAS -2.3%

WAS -5.3%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.4	83.9	92.6	104.1
season	15.1	16.1		98.8	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	15.2	18.2	13.5	15.8
TOR	12.6	14.2	13.9	19.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	20	22	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-13	16	14.9	16.0	-1.11	14.0	15.2	-1.20
A.J. Price	34	35	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.17	9	-19	28	14.9	16.3	-1.31	17.4	13.4	4.00
Cartier Martin	32	35	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-16	22	15.5	15.9	-0.42	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Trevor Booker	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-10	10	16.8	15.3	1.55	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Nene	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.7	0.05	15.5	13.7	1.76
Trevor Ariza	66	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	15.0	17.7	-2.77	15.3	13.7	1.63
Garrett Temple	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	1	-12	18.0	14.6	3.39	13.5	15.5	-1.96
Emeka Okafor	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	15.5	16.4	-0.93	15.9	12.7	3.18
Jan Vesely	8	9	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	1	-12	17.4	15.6	1.75	11.0	15.3	-4.28
Martell Webster	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	16.4	15.0	1.41	14.9	14.8	0.10
John Wall	66	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.07	-21	11	-32	15.4	16.6	-1.15	14.1	16.8	-2.71

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	75	73	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.15	20	-10	30	14.4	16.6	-2.25	15.9	15.4	0.48
Jonas Valanciunas	81	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	14.3	18.1	-3.75	15.6	16.7	-1.11
Landry Fields	33	32	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-2	14	17.2	13.6	3.54	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Kyle Lowry	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-3	16	14.3	16.9	-2.55	15.7	16.1	-0.48
Amir Johnson	68	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	15.6	13.0	2.67	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Rudy Gay	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	3	4	13.8	16.1	-2.31	16.5	14.9	1.67
Quincy Acy	39	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	14	-18	14.7	15.0	-0.31	16.5	15.3	1.23
Sebastian Telfair	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	13	-16	16.9	14.3	2.55	16.1	15.7	0.48
Alan Anderson	18	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	18	-26	14.7	14.9	-0.26	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Terrence Ross	15	15	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	20	-30	16.1	14.6	1.42	15.8	15.8	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.8%
DET 82, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
CHA 84, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.0%