NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	6.0 [584]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +31.5%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	4.6 [494]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -14.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.17	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.01	22	54%	0.17	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	15	39%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	8	31%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.12	0.02	27	71%	0.38	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.04
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.10	-0.03	12	50%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	11	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.6	32.8	19.6	34.0	3.5	31.6	149.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.6%

DAL +21.9%

POR -13.1%

DAL +3.3%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.7	15.5	97.7	110.3	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	14.9	20.0	15.7	16.3
DAL	17.1	15.1	15.1	19.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	44	42	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-17	24	15.8	16.7	-0.84	16.8	16.6	0.21
Arvydas Sabonis	21	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-10	10	14.2	16.9	-2.66	13.3	17.6	-4.34
Dale Davis	37	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-9	8	17.9	15.0	2.91	17.4	16.1	1.28
Ruben Patterson	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	14.9	17.2	-2.23	16.0	17.1	-1.14
Derek Anderson	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-3	-4	17.2	15.6	1.59	17.5	16.1	1.39
Damon Stoudamire	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-10	10	15.8	16.8	-0.94	15.5	18.0	-2.44
Rasheed Wallace	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	16.6	14.9	1.73	17.9	11.1	6.85
Zach Randolph	41	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-3	-4	15.3	17.1	-1.81	14.9	18.0	-3.03
Bonzi Wells	53	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	7	-24	17.0	15.1	1.86	17.4	15.5	1.90
Scottie Pippen	56	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	9	-28	16.4	16.0	0.46	16.9	16.1	0.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	65	65	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.23	17	-7	24	16.7	16.6	0.03	16.3	16.3	0.00
Michael Finley	64	65	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-1	12	17.5	14.4	3.08	16.8	14.8	2.00
Dirk Nowitzki	86	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	16.8	0.0	16.85	16.4	0.0	16.45
Eduardo Najera	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	4	2	16.9	16.3	0.57	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Steve Nash	62	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	4	2	17.4	14.8	2.55	16.3	16.1	0.16
Nick Van Exel	47	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	11	-12	14.2	19.5	-5.27	15.0	17.8	-2.85
Shawn Bradley	47	47	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	8	-6	16.9	16.3	0.56	16.9	15.5	1.45
Raja Bell	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	9	-8	12.3	17.0	-4.64	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Adrian Griffin	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	12	-14	16.8	16.6	0.19	15.7	16.3	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.95,1	93.3%
WAS 78, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.8%
BOS 100, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	92.2%