NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	6.8 [434]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (BOS): +20.2%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	5.8 [105]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -27.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	-0.00	9	74%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.14	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	35%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Kendrick Perkins	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.28	0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28	-0.13	-0.13	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	8	-0.24	8	87%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	16	59%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.11	0.04	16	68%	0.30	10	-0.27	5	80%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	13	44%	-0.05	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.6	30.4	15.8	27.2	2.8	34.3	139.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.2%

NOH +8.8%

NOH +4.8%

NOH +8.0%

NOH +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	15.3	84.2	93.0	106.0
season	15.5	15.5		105.7	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.7		108.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.4	14.2	16.5	13.9	14.1
NOH	12.9	14.6	15.6	15.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	25	25	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-19	30	15.2	13.7	1.46	16.4	13.9	2.51
Eddie House	49	49	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-16	24	14.0	14.2	-0.19	14.8	14.3	0.54
Marquis Daniels	49	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-9	10	14.7	13.5	1.23	15.1	14.0	1.11
Glen Davis	43	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-7	6	15.0	13.4	1.53	15.4	13.9	1.49
Kendrick Perkins	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	14.7	13.5	1.16	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Kevin Garnett	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	13.2	15.4	-2.15	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Rasheed Wallace	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	13.8	14.4	-0.56	15.2	13.9	1.26
Tony Allen	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	1	-10	13.5	14.8	-1.25	14.1	15.1	-1.07
Rajon Rondo	54	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.13	-18	10	-28	14.0	14.3	-0.29	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Paul Pierce	72	72	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	9	-26	13.9	14.6	-0.73	14.2	15.4	-1.21

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	80	80	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-9	26	15.0	12.7	2.26	14.4	13.1	1.27
David West	87	87	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-6	20	14.3	16.6	-2.36	14.2	13.6	0.53
Emeka Okafor	51	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-11	30	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.1	14.1	0.08
Darren Collison	88	91	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-5	18	14.0	18.7	-4.76	13.7	17.4	-3.66
Morris Peterson	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-5	18	14.2	15.1	-0.85	14.1	14.1	0.04
Jason Hart	7	6	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	8	-8	16.6	14.4	2.16	15.5	14.0	1.49
Darius Songaila	56	58	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.23	-9	17	-26	14.7	14.4	0.27	13.7	14.7	-0.96
James Posey	46	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	19	-30	14.9	14.2	0.69	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Julian Wright	1	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	22.0	14.5	7.52	9.5	14.2	-4.69
Aaron Gray	5	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	13	-18	21.8	14.2	7.62	20.2	13.8	6.40
Marcus Thornton	18	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	16	-24	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.5	14.0	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.3%
PHI 97, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	92.7%
PHX 99, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1	92.4%