NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	6.3 [548]		MVP	Jake Voskuhl (CHA): +11.7%
Denver Nuggets	100		Comeback	5.3 [448]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -19.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	6	73%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Burleson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	16	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	13%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	15	39%	0.03	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	12	26%	-0.12	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	79%	0.16	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	20	52%	0.10	5	-0.12	6	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	10	48%	0.01	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.3	28.3	15.4	28.0	1.8	30.5	128.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +42.1%

DEN +3.7%

DEN +11.0%

CHA -6.5%

CHA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DEN	NBA	CHA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.7	13.2	15.6	84.8	100.0	104.4
season	14.8	14.4		100.5	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.1	14.6	16.1	15.0	15.7
DEN	10.2	14.8	12.1	16.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	45	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-23	30	14.0	17.2	-3.19	12.4	13.9	-1.53
Matt Carroll	49	50	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-18	20	14.0	17.4	-3.44	14.8	11.6	3.16
Alan Anderson	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	16.5	15.7	0.78	25.3	12.8	12.49
Kevin Burleson	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	16.5	15.7	0.78	25.3	12.8	12.49
Lonny Baxter	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-12	8	14.4	15.8	-1.41	26.0	12.5	13.45
Jake Voskuhl	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-17	18	14.1	16.8	-2.71	13.1	13.3	-0.19
Kareem Rush	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-12	8	13.8	16.5	-2.67	13.7	13.0	0.74
Primoz Brezec	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-1	-14	17.2	13.8	3.36	13.2	13.2	0.06
Jumaine Jones	80	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-6	-4	16.2	13.6	2.67	12.9	14.9	-2.04
Melvin Ely	45	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	1	-18	17.5	14.3	3.25	12.4	13.9	-1.46
Brevin Knight	68	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	2	-20	16.7	13.6	3.14	12.4	14.9	-2.52
Raymond Felton	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	-2	-12	15.9	15.1	0.86	12.3	16.0	-3.66

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	73	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.03	22	-6	28	12.4	15.4	-2.95	15.8	15.6	0.18
Francisco Elson	75	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-1	18	13.1	13.4	-0.29	16.6	13.3	3.24
Andre Miller	90	88	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	4	8	13.2	13.5	-0.31	16.0	13.8	2.16
Carmelo Anthony	79	80	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	1	14	13.1	13.6	-0.51	15.9	14.9	1.04
Marcus Camby	76	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	1	14	13.2	13.1	0.13	15.6	16.1	-0.46
Earl Boykins	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	15	-14	13.8	12.8	0.97	14.6	16.7	-2.13
Linas Kleiza	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	15	-14	13.9	12.5	1.47	14.7	16.9	-2.12
Earl Watson	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	19	-22	14.3	13.1	1.18	16.6	15.6	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 80, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.3%
POR 89, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%
DET 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%