NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	5.4 [721]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +17.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	3.0 [471]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (CLE): -9.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	17	61%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	17	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	20	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Arnett Moultrie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.16	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	34%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	15	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	24.4	15.6	22.4	1.7	30.3	119.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.8%

CLE -5.5%

CLE -0.1%

PHI +4.2%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.4	111.5	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		100.5	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		107.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.5	14.5	17.0	20.4	17.3
CLE	15.3	18.2	15.8	13.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.16	18	-8	26	17.4	16.9	0.52	16.3	14.1	2.21
Spencer Hawes	66	65	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-5	20	17.1	18.0	-0.86	15.9	15.6	0.29
Evan Turner	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	0	10	17.2	17.7	-0.51	16.0	14.9	1.07
Thaddeus Young	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	0	10	17.0	19.0	-1.97	15.9	15.1	0.82
Jrue Holiday	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	2	6	17.1	17.7	-0.60	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Dorell Wright	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	13	-16	17.3	17.3	0.04	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Royal Ivey	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	9	-8	16.2	17.5	-1.28	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Arnett Moultrie	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	11	-12	16.2	17.5	-1.28	16.3	15.7	0.54
Lavoy Allen	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	16	-22	19.4	16.6	2.82	15.7	15.8	-0.18
Jeremy Pargo	11	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	12	-14	19.2	17.0	2.16	13.4	16.1	-2.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	24	23	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-15	20	16.1	15.7	0.44	18.5	16.9	1.60
CJ Miles	50	50	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.20	9	-19	28	14.3	17.8	-3.54	19.0	14.9	4.09
Chris Quinn	22	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-15	20	15.6	15.9	-0.29	18.0	17.1	0.86
Luke Walton	38	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-16	22	14.3	16.9	-2.60	18.7	16.2	2.49
Daniel Gibson	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	14.9	16.6	-1.69	19.0	15.7	3.38
Wayne Ellington	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	1	-12	16.0	15.5	0.42	16.3	19.1	-2.84
Tristan Thompson	42	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	6	-22	17.9	13.8	4.11	15.4	19.1	-3.71
Alonzo Gee	44	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.03	-19	9	-28	16.7	14.8	1.91	16.0	18.7	-2.74
Tyler Zeller	63	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	5	-20	15.7	16.1	-0.44	16.9	18.5	-1.60
Shaun Livingston	56	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.13	-18	8	-26	16.4	14.7	1.65	16.8	18.3	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 126, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.7%
DEN 114, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.02,0,0	92.9%
HOU 108, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%