NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	126		Excitement	5.9 [641]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CHA): +35.7%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	2.5 [316]		LVP	Sean May (CHA): -13.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36	0.30	0.12	0.06	11	107%	0.38	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.06	0.03	12	79%	0.24	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	14	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Sean May	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	9	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.02	18	62%	0.21	4	-0.13	9	78%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.03	0.07	16	64%	0.13	5	-0.12	10	70%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	16	45%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.2	15.7	30.2	2.8	30.4	129.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +43.2%

CHA +0.2%

NYK -16.4%

CHA +24.4%

NYK -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.4	129.9	112.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		101.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	14.1	15.5	15.6	15.3
NYK	16.0	14.1	13.9	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	73	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	-6	28	15.2	15.6	-0.43	14.4	13.7	0.77
Matt Carroll	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-1	18	15.4	14.8	0.64	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Derek Anderson	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-1	18	15.2	15.5	-0.23	14.8	12.7	2.08
Emeka Okafor	84	84	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	15.3	15.1	0.26	14.4	13.6	0.79
Sean May	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	2	12	15.4	15.2	0.11	13.8	14.7	-0.99
Primoz Brezec	46	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	14	-12	15.2	15.4	-0.11	14.7	13.8	0.99
Jake Voskuhl	13	14	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	9	-2	15.1	15.3	-0.26	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Adam Morrison	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	18	-20	15.5	15.1	0.40	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Jeff McInnis	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	22	-28	15.0	15.4	-0.35	13.8	14.4	-0.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-11	6	15.8	14.0	1.77	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Quentin Richardson	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-10	4	13.6	16.7	-3.08	15.1	16.1	-1.00
David Lee	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.5	15.1	0.40
Channing Frye	57	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-11	6	14.5	14.0	0.50	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Jared Jeffries	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-2	-12	16.5	13.2	3.27	15.6	15.1	0.51
Eddy Curry	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	1	-18	14.5	12.7	1.86	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Jamal Crawford	89	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	13.9	17.3	-3.40	15.4	14.6	0.78
Stephon Marbury	87	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-5	-6	14.0	15.8	-1.77	15.5	14.2	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
ATL 80, NYK 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.6%
HOU 118, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.2%