NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	118		Excitement	5.4 [724]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +25.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.9 [105]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -8.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.07	-0.00	10	90%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	12	91%	0.23	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Steve Francis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.01	12	67%	0.18	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	15	61%	0.10	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.05	-0.01	13	73%	0.20	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.02	18	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.08	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	0.07	11	46%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	24.5	15.6	27.3	1.7	35.0	130.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.4%

HOU +5.3%

POR -5.5%

HOU +0.6%

HOU +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.2	131.1	119.3	101.7
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.6		99.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	14.8	16.0	14.5	15.5
POR	16.5	17.3	17.5	16.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	83	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	1	11	15.3	18.7	-3.46	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Steve Francis	78	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	1	11	15.6	15.1	0.51	16.9	16.4	0.55
Kenny Thomas	51	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-4	21	15.2	15.9	-0.66	16.7	17.1	-0.36
Kelvin Cato	63	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	2	9	15.0	16.7	-1.69	16.4	17.9	-1.44
Walt Williams	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	7	-1	15.6	15.4	0.24	17.4	16.2	1.20
Anthony Miller	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	11	-9	16.7	15.0	1.69	17.9	16.4	1.44
Matt Bullard	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	10	-7	18.2	14.7	3.54	17.8	16.6	1.19
Cuttino Mobley	68	66	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	12	-11	15.1	16.7	-1.53	16.3	18.5	-2.14
Moochie Norris	12	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	12	-11	15.1	15.6	-0.51	16.4	16.9	-0.55

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	45	45	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-21	29	17.5	16.2	1.26	16.7	14.3	2.38
Greg Anthony	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-17	21	17.5	16.3	1.14	17.1	14.3	2.83
Bonzi Wells	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-13	13	15.8	17.3	-1.47	15.6	15.5	0.16
Stacey Augmon	28	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-12	11	17.9	16.3	1.58	17.0	14.9	2.08
Detlef Schrempf	37	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	16.4	17.2	-0.72	15.5	15.5	0.00
Scottie Pippen	60	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-1	-11	16.3	17.9	-1.58	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Steven Smith	63	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	0	-13	17.3	15.8	1.47	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Jermaine O'Neal	22	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	4	-21	17.3	16.7	0.56	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Damon Stoudamire	49	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	4	-21	16.3	17.5	-1.14	14.3	17.1	-2.83
Rasheed Wallace	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	1	-15	16.6	18.2	-1.63	15.0	17.9	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 114, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.6%
CHA 126, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%
POR 115, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.2%