inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 115 Excitement6.0 [579] MVPRasheed Wallace (POR): +19.4%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback2.0 [366] LVPDale Ellis (DEN): -11.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.080.11-0.01974%0.211-0.0110%-0.03
Isaiah Rider0.100,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.090.031660%0.142-0.04333%-0.04
Kenny Anderson0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.021762%0.121-0.03887%-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0.070,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.031171%0.091-0.03989%0.02
Randolph Childress0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.022245%0.011-0.02367%-0.00
Aleksandar Djordjevic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00460%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.001100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Chris Dudley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00050%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Gary Trent-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01420%-0.051-0.0220%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.040.061484%0.233-0.0916100%0.11
Brooks Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.140.140.100.03-0.011175%0.201-0.062100%0.01
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04570%0.0100.0000%0.00
LaSalle Thompson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01958%0.011-0.02862%-0.02
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0000%-0.0400.0020%-0.04
Mark Jackson0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01333%-0.034-0.0900%0.00
Dale Ellis0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.020.011744%-0.082-0.04978%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.428.014.730.42.328.3129.5
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +33.4%
DEN -12.8%
POR +26.8%
POR +6.6%
DEN -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game16.114.715.6121.1113.0104.4
season15.515.2105.2102.3
opponent15.315.5108.8101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.014.516.118.116.1
DEN12.115.617.414.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenny Anderson81800.52-0.030.550.1413-21516.215.60.5714.615.2-0.69
Clifford Robinson87850.470.030.440.17101916.017.7-1.7714.516.6-2.08
Isaiah Rider55520.460.030.430.141101115.616.8-1.2114.714.60.00
Arvydas Sabonis59540.440.060.380.0613-21516.415.60.7814.215.3-1.18
Rasheed Wallace56560.420.070.340.0712-11316.715.31.3914.714.60.02
Gary Trent40360.140.35-0.210.11110-916.216.10.1715.014.40.53
Chris Dudley37380.110.39-0.280.11011-1115.516.5-1.0015.314.21.18
Aaron McKie44430.070.43-0.360.04110-916.415.90.5714.914.50.39
Randolph Childress11-0.030.53-0.560.03-213-154.016.3-12.2612.014.7-2.68
Jermaine O'Neal56-0.060.55-0.61-0.03-112-1315.016.2-1.1915.314.60.73
Aleksandar Djordjevic109-0.060.56-0.620.02-314-1716.916.00.8614.414.7-0.23

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaSalle Thompson14140.07-0.570.64-0.075-162112.115.1-3.0416.416.10.35
Jeff McInnis22210.03-0.520.55-0.001-121313.015.2-2.1717.015.91.12
Brooks Thompson4244-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-121315.214.20.9916.016.2-0.19
Darvin Ham1614-0.09-0.400.31-0.090-111115.514.51.0314.216.5-2.24
Antonio McDyess6568-0.13-0.360.230.04-6-5-114.315.5-1.1716.714.62.09
Tom Hammonds6261-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.16-5-6115.014.00.9216.216.00.24
Mark Jackson4952-0.41-0.08-0.33-0.12-10-1-915.114.11.0115.616.7-1.13
Ervin Johnson3642-0.500.00-0.500.00-176-2315.614.11.4815.316.8-1.46
Bryant Stith7273-0.520.03-0.55-0.17-121-1314.515.2-0.7616.315.50.76
Dale Ellis8286-0.550.05-0.60-0.19-121-1314.615.0-0.3916.314.91.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 86, SAS 770.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,093.7%
SAC 111, BOS 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,093.3%
HOU 118, POR 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,093.2%