NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	6.0 [609]		MVP	Isaiah Canaan (HOU): +15.5%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	2.2 [412]		LVP	Luol Deng (MIA): -13.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	3	133%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.05	0.04	8	95%	0.23	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	8	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	13	69%	0.17	5	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Troy Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	16	60%	0.11	5	-0.13	11	55%	-0.05
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.07	6	87%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	11	70%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Andre Dawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	0.02	5	-0.12	5	40%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	9	46%	-0.04	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	38.4	15.7	29.1	2.4	30.3	144.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +29.7%

HOU +14.5%

MIA -8.3%

HOU +14.9%

MIA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIA	NBA	HOU	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.1	122.7	104.6	104.2
season	14.3	16.0		105.6	102.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	14.6	17.7	16.8	16.3
MIA	17.8	15.4	17.4	16.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	71	72	0.78	-0.28	1.06	-0.01	27	-10	37	15.6	19.4	-3.82	17.0	14.4	2.64
Trevor Ariza	73	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.03	27	-10	37	16.4	15.9	0.48	16.4	17.6	-1.21
James Harden	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	2	13	17.0	13.1	3.92	16.2	18.1	-1.89
Kostas Papanikolaou	67	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	2	13	17.1	14.0	3.06	16.2	17.5	-1.27
Patrick Beverley	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	6	5	16.0	16.8	-0.81	17.0	15.8	1.15
Jason Terry	35	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	13	-9	15.8	16.7	-0.93	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Troy Daniels	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	22.0	16.3	5.74	0.0	16.6	-16.59
Donatas Motiejunas	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	21	-25	15.2	16.8	-1.52	16.7	16.5	0.15
Joey Dorsey	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	21	-25	18.7	15.9	2.77	15.4	16.8	-1.36
Isaiah Canaan	27	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	23	-29	15.3	16.8	-1.44	17.5	16.2	1.36

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis	24	26	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-23	29	16.9	16.5	0.46	17.4	15.9	1.55
Andre Dawkins	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	8.7	16.9	-8.20	21.2	16.1	5.15
Josh McRoberts	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-14	11	16.7	16.6	0.16	12.3	17.0	-4.63
Shabazz Napier	48	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	16.5	16.6	-0.10	16.4	16.3	0.12
Justin Hamilton	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-12	7	16.3	17.2	-0.89	16.7	15.6	1.16
Mario Chalmers	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-8	-1	17.2	15.6	1.64	15.8	17.2	-1.43
Chris Bosh	55	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-6	-5	16.8	16.3	0.48	16.3	16.3	0.01
Norris Cole	31	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-6	-5	17.1	16.3	0.84	16.0	16.5	-0.44
Luol Deng	43	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-3	-11	16.4	16.7	-0.33	16.8	15.8	0.99
Shawne Williams	52	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	-2	-13	16.7	16.4	0.31	16.8	15.6	1.16
Dwyane Wade	59	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.00	-18	1	-19	16.2	17.5	-1.35	15.7	17.5	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
LAC 95, MIN 82	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
PHI 97, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%