NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	5.9 [620]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +9.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.8 [503]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -11.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	61%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	11	41%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Derek Strong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	58%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Gatling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.04	0.01	13	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	23%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	43%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	64%	0.06	6	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	17	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	29.0	15.5	25.2	1.8	28.4	129.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +11.7%

ORL +7.0%

ORL +8.0%

ORL +21.1%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	15.2	103.0	89.0	101.7
season	13.6	15.6		100.4	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.4		107.1	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	13.4	14.4	19.0	14.9
LAC	14.6	12.8	14.4	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	74	73	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.08	22	-9	31	15.3	13.8	1.46	14.6	12.6	2.01
Bo Outlaw	72	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-5	23	15.0	14.7	0.31	14.6	12.8	1.77
Ben Wallace	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.08	15	-2	17	14.7	15.4	-0.67	14.4	12.8	1.61
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	15.0	14.7	0.27	14.8	13.3	1.48
John Amaechi	44	41	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	4	5	14.1	15.5	-1.48	16.4	12.4	3.99
Chris Gatling	52	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	6	1	15.8	13.9	1.94	12.3	16.2	-3.91
Chucky Atkins	49	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	14.9	14.9	-0.06	13.0	15.2	-2.17
Pat Garrity	14	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	14	-15	15.6	14.8	0.88	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Derek Strong	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	13.9	15.0	-1.10	11.5	14.4	-2.83
Corey Maggette	25	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	22	-31	13.8	15.3	-1.46	12.6	14.6	-2.01

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	20	20	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-19	25	13.1	14.3	-1.20	12.9	15.4	-2.49
Eric Piatkowski	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-10	7	12.1	14.4	-2.35	18.0	14.4	3.62
Tyrone Nesby	61	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-11	9	13.7	14.6	-0.91	14.0	16.0	-1.96
Troy Hudson	61	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-9	5	13.5	14.9	-1.46	15.4	14.3	1.09
Eric Murdock	39	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	14.9	13.5	1.46	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Derek Anderson	84	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	14.3	12.6	1.71	14.3	18.3	-3.98
Maurice Taylor	89	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	14.5	10.5	3.95	15.1	13.4	1.72
Lamar Odom	51	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	0	-13	13.9	14.3	-0.40	15.6	14.0	1.56
Michael Olowokandi	80	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.10	-19	6	-25	14.3	13.1	1.20	15.4	12.9	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, NYK 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.7%
DEN 91, NOK 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.7%
CLE 112, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%