NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	7.5 [329]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +35.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	114		Comeback	6.3 [307]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -36.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	14	77%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	12	64%	0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Tobias Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1	0.12	-0.05	-0.03	20	60%	0.16	1	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
DeQuan Jones	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	65%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Doron Lamb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36	-0.17	-0.19	0.00	19	34%	-0.14	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.18	0.18	0.01	18	74%	0.46	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.03	23	62%	0.20	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.06
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	26.2	14.6	23.9	2.0	29.3	125.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +13.3%

CHA +0.2%

CHA +22.0%

CHA +11.9%

CHA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.4	114.9	118.8	104.1
season	15.5	15.6		100.3	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		109.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.8	16.3	16.5	14.9	15.1
CHA	16.5	13.0	16.2	15.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	25	26	0.49	-0.99	1.49	0.02	16	-22	38	13.4	15.8	-2.41	14.9	15.3	-0.42
DeQuan Jones	60	61	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.15	1	-7	8	15.1	15.1	-0.03	16.1	13.6	2.45
Doron Lamb	14	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	6	-18	16.1	14.9	1.19	10.4	15.9	-5.45
Tobias Harris	87	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-9	12	15.0	17.0	-2.02	15.7	9.1	6.52
Maurice Harkless	85	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.2	-0.10	15.2	15.0	0.20
Beno Udrih	37	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	12	-30	15.4	15.0	0.41	13.5	16.3	-2.79
Jameer Nelson	81	83	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.52	-8	2	-10	15.3	13.8	1.58	15.4	14.0	1.37
Kyle O'Quinn	81	83	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.52	-8	2	-10	15.3	13.8	1.58	15.4	14.0	1.37

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	69	68	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.28	23	-17	40	14.4	17.1	-2.62	15.5	14.2	1.35
Josh McRoberts	65	66	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.47	13	-7	20	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.5	14.3	1.15
Gerald Henderson	82	81	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.53	7	-1	8	15.4	13.8	1.64	15.3	13.8	1.58
Kemba Walker	88	87	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-9	24	15.2	14.6	0.61	15.2	13.7	1.53
Ben Gordon	39	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.44	-7	13	-20	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.0	15.9	-1.86
Jeff Taylor	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.17	9	-3	12	11.0	15.7	-4.67	15.8	15.0	0.75
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	41	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	4	-2	14.6	15.6	-0.97	15.3	15.0	0.34
Jannero Pargo	39	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	5	-4	14.9	15.4	-0.49	15.4	15.0	0.41
Jeff Adrien	20	17	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	0.04	-16	22	-38	17.2	14.6	2.61	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Byron Mullens	27	26	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	0.04	-17	23	-40	17.1	14.4	2.62	14.2	15.5	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.96,1,1	91.5%
SAC 93, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.9,0.96,1	91.2%
BOS 97, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	90.7%