NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	7.1 [429]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +22.1%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	4.4 [596]		LVP	David Harrison (IND): -17.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	8	87%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.07	-0.00	17	63%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	8	29%	-0.02	1	0.01	5	40%	-0.07
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.16	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	16	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	22	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.02	17	64%	0.23	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	13	67%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	17	56%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	16	47%	0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	9	18%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.8	24.3	15.7	25.1	2.3	32.7	124.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.4%

IND +0.2%

SAC -6.1%

IND +12.7%

SAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.6	103.3	106.5	104.4
season	15.3	16.0		104.7	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.7	18.2	18.0	16.5	16.2
IND	15.5	16.0	14.7	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	38	41	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-5	5	18.0	15.0	3.01	16.5	14.6	1.92
Kevin Martin	47	49	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	15.9	16.6	-0.76	15.2	15.7	-0.56
Metta World Peace	85	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	16.0	19.8	-3.78	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Brad Miller	88	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	16.2	18.5	-2.32	15.4	15.3	0.09
Mike Bibby	85	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	16.1	19.0	-2.93	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Kenny Thomas	53	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.44	-6	1	-7	15.2	17.7	-2.45	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Bonzi Wells	54	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.32	-10	5	-15	17.0	15.1	1.87	15.2	15.7	-0.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	76	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-8	21	15.1	17.2	-2.13	16.3	15.7	0.68
Jeff Foster	74	72	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-6	17	15.7	14.4	1.22	16.5	15.0	1.54
Danny Granger	76	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	3	-1	15.1	16.7	-1.61	15.9	17.5	-1.53
Peja Stojakovic	78	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	6	-7	15.6	14.4	1.26	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Jamaal Tinsley	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	1	3	15.4	15.5	-0.13	16.4	16.0	0.41
Anthony Johnson	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	6	-7	15.1	15.6	-0.50	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Fred Jones	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.14	-2	7	-9	15.9	15.2	0.66	16.5	16.1	0.42
David Harrison	33	34	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.30	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.1	0.85	16.4	16.1	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.96,1,1	91.2%
ORL 108, CHA 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.78,0.96,1	91.2%
VAN 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	91.1%