NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	6.1 [577]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +26.3%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	2.2 [300]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -14.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	14	64%	0.17	6	-0.19	8	100%	0.05
Zach Randolph	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	17	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.24	0.10	0.08	22	69%	0.30	2	-0.03	24	79%	0.04
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	15	62%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	58%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	9	41%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	30.2	15.8	29.0	2.5	38.6	140.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +24.2%

WAS +2.5%

WAS +9.6%

WAS +11.8%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.4	97.9	110.3	104.1
season	16.5	15.1		102.9	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.2	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.8	15.0	15.6	14.5	15.2
WAS	14.2	15.0	14.4	14.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	48	46	0.49	-0.99	1.49	-0.30	27	-40	67	13.8	16.7	-2.83	15.4	13.9	1.51
Jerryd Bayless	55	54	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.13	14	-27	41	14.3	16.6	-2.29	15.4	13.5	1.91
Austin Daye	33	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-16	19	14.3	15.7	-1.40	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Quincy Pondexter	57	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-16	19	14.6	16.2	-1.57	14.7	14.5	0.23
Dexter Pittman	2	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-11	9	12.5	15.3	-2.81	6.0	14.8	-8.78
Jon Leuer	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	16.4	15.1	1.31	13.6	14.8	-1.12
Tayshaun Prince	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	4	-21	15.1	15.7	-0.61	14.7	14.3	0.40
Darrell Arthur	38	40	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.09	-23	10	-33	16.3	14.6	1.72	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Mike Conley	78	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	7	-27	15.4	14.4	0.99	14.8	13.3	1.50
Tony Allen	33	34	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.02	-21	8	-29	16.8	14.5	2.30	13.2	15.3	-2.14
Zach Randolph	53	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	0.01	-25	12	-37	16.9	13.2	3.65	14.6	14.6	0.00

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	90	88	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.01	26	-13	39	14.4	17.3	-2.90	15.7	10.6	5.05
Chris Singleton	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	2	9	14.6	14.9	-0.35	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Trevor Booker	56	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-6	25	14.5	14.8	-0.32	15.7	14.7	0.92
Emeka Okafor	63	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.06	12	1	11	14.6	14.6	0.06	15.4	15.1	0.31
Kevin Seraphin	32	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	16	-19	14.2	14.8	-0.66	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Jan Vesely	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	17	-21	14.7	14.5	0.20	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Cartier Martin	51	52	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	14	-15	15.2	14.0	1.22	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Garrett Temple	71	70	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	8	-3	14.7	14.3	0.45	14.9	16.2	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
CHA 71, MIA 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.85,1	92.6%
WAS 102, MIL 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%