inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 93 Excitement5.3 [739] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +16.0%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback1.2 [1156] LVPDavid Lee (GSW): -16.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.02-0.005100%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.01972%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Jarrett Jack0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.001158%0.082-0.052100%0.02
Draymond Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00850%0.002-0.052100%0.01
Richard Jefferson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02262%0.012-0.06475%-0.02
Stephen Curry-0.060,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.040.042053%0.023-0.08580%-0.02
Andrew Bogut-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.00922%-0.0900.0000%0.00
David Lee-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17-0.15-0.06-0.041728%-0.122-0.042100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.070.001768%0.233-0.073100%0.01
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.01-0.02683%0.0910.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.031257%0.102-0.03683%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.041040%0.0400.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.00945%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.010.05764%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.010.031644%-0.024-0.104100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.51.626.315.325.51.829.2120.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.8%
SAS +9.5%
GSW -6.6%
SAS +17.7%
SAS +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game14.716.015.497.9111.8104.1
season14.615.2104.6106.4
opponent15.115.399.5103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.716.213.313.814.7
SAS15.015.815.118.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Festus Ezeli20190.02-0.520.53-0.073-141713.115.1-1.9415.416.1-0.75
Richard Jefferson1213-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-9716.114.51.6014.516.2-1.75
Harrison Barnes3334-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-131515.314.40.9516.315.80.47
Kent Bazemore1412-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-12139.815.5-5.7517.115.81.28
Draymond Green2928-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-10913.415.3-1.8815.616.1-0.52
Carl Landry2929-0.16-0.340.17-0.10-2-9712.915.5-2.5215.016.4-1.46
Andrew Bogut6562-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-110-1115.612.72.9016.415.21.21
Jarrett Jack6261-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.14-9-2-714.415.2-0.7215.916.2-0.29
Stephen Curry7068-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.08-121-1315.213.22.0716.115.70.34
Klay Thompson6765-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-121-1315.013.81.2216.115.60.52
David Lee7474-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.12-121-1315.312.62.7116.115.40.75

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili52560.410.090.330.0313-21515.916.0-0.0614.714.7-0.06
Nando De Colo51510.300.200.110.1947-315.416.6-1.2314.315.2-0.93
Boris Diaw42430.300.200.090.0683515.716.2-0.4214.315.0-0.66
Danny Green54540.270.230.030.0965116.914.72.1514.714.70.05
Kawhi Leonard63630.260.240.020.1447-316.315.21.1315.014.01.08
Matt Bonner21230.250.250.000.0765117.415.51.8913.015.2-2.16
Stephen Jackson30320.240.26-0.020.0374315.216.3-1.1314.015.0-1.08
Tim Duncan60610.230.27-0.040.0665116.215.60.5615.113.91.29
Tiago Splitter61620.220.28-0.060.1047-315.417.1-1.7615.213.71.56
Cory Joseph31300.010.48-0.470.10-314-1715.516.2-0.7315.114.50.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 89, DET 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
UTA 63, HOU 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
MIA 89, NOH 1000.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,194.5%