NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	4.7 [886]		MVP	Chris Quinn (MIA): +11.4%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	1.1 [1202]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIA): -5.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Quinn	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	20	55%	0.07	5	-0.11	15	80%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	14	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	66%	0.16	5	-0.10	14	86%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	32.2	15.7	30.1	2.5	32.2	141.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +22.1%

NOH +7.3%

NOH +12.0%

NOH +2.6%

NOH +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NOH	NBA	MIA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.0	16.9	15.5	106.0	116.3	106.4
season	16.0	16.6		105.9	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.1	19.3	16.7	14.8	17.0
NOH	16.4	15.0	14.7	21.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-10	9	20.1	16.6	3.47	17.2	16.8	0.39
Chris Quinn	39	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-17	23	16.8	17.2	-0.36	18.6	15.3	3.27
Daequan Cook	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-7	3	18.3	16.2	2.15	16.0	17.4	-1.41
Yakhouba Diawara	20	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-3	-5	19.5	16.2	3.33	13.4	18.1	-4.65
Michael Beasley	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-8	5	16.4	18.7	-2.32	17.8	14.3	3.49
Dwyane Wade	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	16.0	24.3	-8.27	16.6	18.5	-1.92
Shawn Marion	64	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	3	-17	17.4	15.7	1.72	15.7	20.8	-5.12
Mario Chalmers	45	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	4	-19	17.0	17.1	-0.07	18.5	15.1	3.44
Udonis Haslem	75	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	16.6	20.1	-3.47	16.8	17.2	-0.39

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	58	57	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	-5	21	16.9	16.7	0.18	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Chris Paul	69	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	16.0	20.2	-4.19	16.5	19.1	-2.57
David West	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	4	3	16.7	17.8	-1.09	15.9	23.2	-7.27
Peja Stojakovic	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	3	5	15.5	20.3	-4.86	16.0	19.8	-3.88
Morris Peterson	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	2	7	14.3	18.8	-4.47	15.9	17.9	-1.91
James Posey	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	9	-7	18.8	14.3	4.47	17.9	15.9	1.91
Rasual Butler	25	23	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	20.3	15.5	4.86	19.8	16.0	3.88
Julian Wright	14	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	7	-3	17.8	16.7	1.09	23.2	15.9	7.27
Mike James	17	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	20.2	16.0	4.19	19.1	16.5	2.57
Hilton Armstrong	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	16	-21	16.7	16.9	-0.18	17.3	16.9	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%