NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Excitement	4.2 [930]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +13.9%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.1 [1150]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): -19.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	16	71%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	10	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	13	45%	-0.06	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Terrell Brandon	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.21	-0.04	-0.05	14	37%	-0.08	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	16	78%	0.19	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	63%	0.03	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	14	53%	0.07	4	-0.06	6	33%	-0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.4	42.4	143.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.8%

NYK +3.6%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	18.5	15.6	15.6	97.6	105.9	104.4
season	17.8	15.1		102.1	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.1		98.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	20.1	18.7	18.5	18.5
NYK	14.3	13.5	18.2	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-11	14	20.1	16.8	3.32	16.4	14.6	1.78
Antonio Lang	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	23.7	18.3	5.46	16.0	15.5	0.47
Donny Marshall	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	17.1	18.8	-1.68	14.8	15.7	-0.84
Vitaly Potapenko	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-6	4	18.6	18.5	0.14	16.0	15.2	0.82
Chris Mills	70	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-9	10	18.5	18.7	-0.20	15.8	14.4	1.43
Tyrone Hill	64	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-6	4	19.2	16.4	2.75	15.6	15.5	0.10
Danny Ferry	64	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	17.8	20.9	-3.09	15.4	16.0	-0.57
Bobby Phills	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	18.7	18.1	0.61	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Terrell Brandon	60	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	3	-14	17.2	21.8	-4.54	15.1	16.7	-1.51

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	68	67	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.14	19	-11	30	15.7	15.0	0.69	17.8	21.4	-3.59
Allan Houston	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-7	22	15.6	15.3	0.32	18.3	19.3	-1.05
Patrick Ewing	70	68	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	15.7	14.9	0.75	18.2	20.2	-2.03
Charles Oakley	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	15.1	18.4	-3.23	18.6	18.5	0.11
Larry Johnson	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	7	-6	16.0	14.2	1.79	18.3	19.3	-0.99
John Wallace	10	9	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	14.8	15.7	-0.85	15.9	18.9	-2.98
John Starks	38	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	13	-18	15.9	15.3	0.67	20.1	17.4	2.78
Buck Williams	22	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	14.7	15.9	-1.18	19.6	18.2	1.40
Scott Brooks	17	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	19	-30	15.0	15.7	-0.69	21.4	17.8	3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 86, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 89, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1	95.5%