NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.9 [268]		MVP	John Jenkins (ATL): +9.3%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	2.5 [384]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -30.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05
Jodie Meeks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	19	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	14	35%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.09,-0.28,-0.3	-0.12	-0.19	-0.02	33	42%	-0.11	5	-0.19	8	87%	0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	15	45%	0.11	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	12	56%	0.07	5	-0.20	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.0	16.5	29.3	1.7	39.0	141.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +71.3%

LAL -3.9%

ATL +5.8%

LAL -17.3%

LAL -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.4	97.9	103.2	104.1
season	14.9	15.1		106.0	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	14.6	15.5	15.4	15.3
ATL	16.2	15.4	16.5	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-1	-2	15.8	15.0	0.76	16.4	15.1	1.32
Earl Clark	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	14.3	15.7	-1.39	16.5	15.1	1.33
Jodie Meeks	42	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-3	2	16.1	14.6	1.53	14.6	16.2	-1.50
Dwight Howard	73	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-14	24	15.2	15.6	-0.41	15.5	15.4	0.11
Kobe Bryant	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	15.4	15.1	0.25	15.8	14.3	1.54
Steve Nash	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.59	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Steve Blake	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	4	-12	15.2	15.6	-0.36	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Metta World Peace	82	81	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.40	-13	9	-22	15.2	15.9	-0.71	15.4	15.9	-0.47

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	67	68	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.52	10	-6	16	14.9	17.0	-2.13	15.5	14.9	0.57
Al Horford	80	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.45	9	-5	14	15.4	16.2	-0.84	15.3	15.5	-0.24
John Jenkins	35	39	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-7	18	15.8	15.3	0.52	15.8	14.9	0.89
Ivan Johnson	56	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-1	6	14.4	17.2	-2.80	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Kyle Korver	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-1	6	15.0	16.8	-1.79	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Anthony Tolliver	46	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	2	0	16.5	14.5	2.05	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Dahntay Jones	40	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	10	-16	15.0	15.9	-0.89	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Johan Petro	49	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	14	-24	16.9	14.0	2.90	15.6	15.0	0.61
Shelvin Mack	26	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.13	-6	10	-16	17.0	14.9	2.13	14.9	15.5	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.92,1	92.3%
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	92.0%
POR 99, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	91.9%