NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	8.5 [181]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +53.7%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.9 [692]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (POR): -20.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.3	0.20	0.11	0.01	24	76%	0.42	4	-0.12	11	73%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	5	47%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.00	17	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05
Ruben Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.54	0.54	0.17	0.38	0.01	14	87%	0.65	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	6	86%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	12	68%	0.25	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	25	44%	0.08	4	-0.16	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.7	29.2	19.5	29.3	3.7	38.7	153.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +65.8%

POR -7.3%

DAL +2.8%

POR -9.2%

POR -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.5	112.5	115.7	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	14.3	18.3	18.0	17.0
DAL	13.1	15.7	16.9	17.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	65	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-10	16	15.9	19.9	-3.99	16.0	14.6	1.37
Derek Anderson	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-5	6	13.6	17.3	-3.69	15.7	15.6	0.09
Arvydas Sabonis	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	1	-6	14.8	17.6	-2.74	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Rasheed Wallace	72	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-12	20	16.4	19.7	-3.33	16.2	12.7	3.43
Dale Davis	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-9	14	17.0	17.0	0.01	16.4	13.6	2.76
Antonio Daniels	51	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	1	-6	19.2	13.9	5.26	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Zach Randolph	20	20	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	8	-20	18.1	16.6	1.47	14.6	15.9	-1.21
Bonzi Wells	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-4	4	17.3	14.4	2.81	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	46	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	17.6	16.2	1.39	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Ruben Patterson	15	17	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	8	-20	16.2	17.1	-0.92	13.6	16.0	-2.39

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	63	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-2	8	16.1	14.4	1.69	17.9	15.0	2.94
Nick Van Exel	56	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	15.4	15.9	-0.52	17.5	16.2	1.30
Dirk Nowitzki	89	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.6	0.0	15.58	17.0	0.0	16.97
Steve Nash	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.42	2	2	0	16.3	12.0	4.25	16.7	18.7	-2.07
Michael Finley	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	3	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.14	16.8	17.5	-0.75
Raef LaFrentz	40	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-2	8	14.5	16.5	-1.97	17.3	16.7	0.52
Adrian Griffin	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	2	0	14.0	15.9	-1.88	15.6	17.2	-1.66
Shawn Bradley	43	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	13	-22	15.9	15.3	0.67	16.0	17.9	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.96,1	93.4%
TOR 100, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.96,1	92.4%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	92.0%