NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	7.6 [285]		MVP	Hilton Armstrong (NOH): +17.9%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	1.7 [338]		LVP	David West (NOH): -36.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	12	79%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	11	55%	0.09	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.06
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,-0.21	0.00	-0.22	-0.01	11	50%	-0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	7	69%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	14	62%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.01	20	50%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.36	-0.36	-0.10	-0.26	-0.01	16	43%	-0.07	5	-0.29	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.5	16.3	25.6	2.3	26.8	123.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.8%

PHX -1.3%

NOH +41.2%

PHX -17.6%

PHX -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	12.3	18.5	15.4	102.1	109.8	105.7
season	13.8	15.9		111.1	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	10.7	14.0	11.1	13.8	12.3
NOH	17.2	17.3	19.2	20.5	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	29	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-4	5	14.4	11.4	3.04	17.6	18.8	-1.20
Boris Diaw	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	13.5	11.5	1.96	18.6	18.4	0.29
Leandro Barbosa	43	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	1	-5	13.2	11.6	1.58	17.9	19.0	-1.14
Raja Bell	76	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	12.3	12.3	-0.01	18.3	19.0	-0.74
Shawn Marion	87	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-3	3	12.5	10.4	2.04	18.1	21.8	-3.66
Grant Hill	73	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	11.8	13.9	-2.13	19.0	16.7	2.35
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	1	-5	11.4	14.4	-3.04	18.8	17.6	1.20
Steve Nash	67	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	1	-5	11.4	14.4	-3.04	18.8	17.6	1.20

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	59	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-6	15	18.4	18.6	-0.20	11.8	13.2	-1.36
Julian Wright	35	35	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-11	25	17.9	18.8	-0.91	14.3	11.1	3.18
Tyson Chandler	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	18.7	17.7	0.99	11.7	13.9	-2.20
Chris Paul	73	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	3	-3	18.6	17.8	0.80	11.7	14.8	-3.13
Rasual Butler	68	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.51	-6	9	-15	18.8	17.5	1.38	11.9	13.4	-1.50
David West	81	85	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	5	-7	18.4	18.9	-0.49	11.8	16.3	-4.50
Jannero Pargo	19	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	0	3	17.8	18.6	-0.80	14.8	11.7	3.13
Hilton Armstrong	23	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	5	-7	17.7	18.7	-0.99	13.9	11.7	2.20
Bobby Jackson	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	9	-15	18.6	18.4	0.20	13.2	11.8	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.7%
LAL 92, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.84,1	92.3%
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	92.1%