NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	6.4 [533]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +37.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	1.3 [958]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -15.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	-0.00	-0.00	19	67%	0.21	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	5	60%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	13	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	9	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Rudy Gobert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	0.06	13	48%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Trey Burke	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.19	0.19	0.00	21	67%	0.39	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	7	86%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	19	46%	0.12	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.0	25.2	15.7	28.3	1.8	35.2	129.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.3%

LAC +8.4%

UTA -9.9%

LAC +24.9%

LAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.1	107.4	112.6	104.2
season	16.2	14.6		103.8	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	21.0	13.7	13.8	15.8
LAC	15.7	15.0	14.5	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	18.3	15.1	3.14	13.1	15.1	-2.09
Steve Novak	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-4	2	6.0	15.9	-9.86	1.0	15.0	-14.02
Rodney Hood	37	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	14.1	16.9	-2.81	15.7	14.2	1.52
Dante Exum	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-5	4	15.9	15.7	0.28	15.9	14.1	1.79
Trevor Booker	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-12	18	15.3	16.4	-1.13	15.5	13.8	1.64
Enes Kanter	52	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-7	8	16.7	14.6	2.14	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Rudy Gobert	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	3	-12	16.7	15.3	1.42	16.3	14.1	2.26
Gordon Hayward	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	16.2	14.5	1.63	14.1	16.9	-2.84
Trey Burke	62	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.28	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Alec Burks	61	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	3	-12	15.5	16.2	-0.61	15.5	13.3	2.18
Derrick Favors	54	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	2	-10	15.0	16.8	-1.82	14.0	15.7	-1.73

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-6	18	14.4	15.5	-1.15	15.6	16.1	-0.45
Chris Paul	73	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-3	12	14.3	16.0	-1.72	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Blake Griffin	78	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-1	8	14.2	17.0	-2.77	15.4	17.5	-2.09
DeAndre Jordan	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	15.5	11.9	3.58	15.9	15.2	0.67
Matt Barnes	62	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	14.2	15.7	-1.53	16.2	15.0	1.16
Reggie Bullock	33	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	1	4	15.7	14.2	1.53	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Spencer Hawes	28	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	4	-2	15.6	14.4	1.20	16.0	15.6	0.41
Hedo Turkoglu	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	8	-10	14.3	14.8	-0.42	23.2	15.3	7.86
Jordan Farmar	22	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	9	-12	16.0	14.3	1.72	16.7	15.5	1.24
JJ Redick	31	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	12	-18	14.2	15.0	-0.79	15.2	16.0	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.9%
CLE 93, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.5%
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	93.3%