NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	7.2 [356]		MVP	Travis Knight (BOS): +18.0%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.6 [592]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -27.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	1	150%	0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	14	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Eddie Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	12	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	10	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.14	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Clyde Drexler	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.11	-0.02	16	47%	-0.07	8	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	9	87%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	5	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	21	59%	0.16	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	18	56%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	12	27%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.5	16.3	33.6	2.4	29.6	136.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.9%

HOU -13.0%

BOS +10.2%

BOS +29.2%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	15.6	98.0	109.2	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		104.5	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	12.3	14.1	15.7	14.5
BOS	12.2	13.8	18.6	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	51	51	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-15	19	14.9	14.0	0.88	15.4	14.3	1.09
Emanual Davis	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-12	13	11.2	15.0	-3.75	15.3	14.8	0.46
Rodrick Rhodes	70	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	14.3	15.0	-0.73	15.4	13.6	1.76
Othella Harrington	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-6	1	11.9	16.2	-4.20	15.0	14.8	0.16
Charles Barkley	78	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.00	-11	0	-11	14.8	13.3	1.42	14.1	17.5	-3.40
Clyde Drexler	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-4	-3	15.1	11.8	3.31	15.4	12.5	2.95
Kevin Willis	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	16.2	11.6	4.63	15.1	14.6	0.54
Eddie Johnson	51	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	2	-15	14.1	14.9	-0.84	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Brent Price	47	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.09	-18	7	-25	14.0	14.9	-0.96	13.8	15.9	-2.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	44	43	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.16	21	-10	31	14.0	15.7	-1.73	15.0	14.1	0.97
Ron Mercer	61	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	1	9	15.2	14.4	0.81	14.9	13.7	1.19
Travis Knight	51	48	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-1	13	14.8	15.1	-0.30	14.7	14.3	0.45
Dana Barros	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	0	11	15.0	14.8	0.21	13.8	16.0	-2.14
Antoine Walker	84	84	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	15.5	11.4	4.06	14.9	12.1	2.73
Andrew DeClercq	21	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	4	3	12.6	15.5	-2.91	16.3	13.9	2.38
Chauncey Billups	21	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	8	-5	15.0	14.9	0.06	16.3	14.0	2.31
Walter McCarty	58	58	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	12	-13	15.1	14.6	0.52	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Dee Brown	46	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	12	-13	13.9	15.8	-1.88	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Greg Minor	11	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	16	-21	15.2	14.9	0.31	10.6	15.0	-4.44
John Thomas	24	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	19	-27	17.2	14.2	3.05	12.3	15.2	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.9%
VAN 94, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1	93.4%
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	93.2%