NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	7.6 [314]		MVP	Steve Novak (NYK): +32.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	14.2 [139]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -11.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.15	0.17	0.00	7	88%	0.33	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	7	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	15	69%	0.15	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
James White	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	40%	0.05	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	17	45%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	-0.01	0.03	14	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	20	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	29.1	14.5	30.4	2.4	35.0	138.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.2%

CLE -14.1%

NYK +37.1%

CLE -18.0%

CLE -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.4	109.7	106.6	104.1
season	16.2	15.5		107.9	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	15.5	17.6	17.3	16.6
CLE	12.9	14.5	17.6	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	67	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-11	27	16.1	18.0	-1.90	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	60	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-8	21	16.0	18.0	-1.97	15.0	13.9	1.13
Tyson Chandler	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-7	19	16.1	18.0	-1.92	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Jason Kidd	57	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	16.1	17.6	-1.50	14.6	14.8	-0.22
J.R. Smith	70	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	2	1	17.2	14.8	2.40	14.9	13.7	1.21
Steve Novak	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	8	-11	18.0	15.7	2.22	14.9	14.4	0.50
Iman Shumpert	38	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	6	-7	17.3	16.1	1.20	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Pablo Prigioni	14	14	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	4	-3	18.4	16.3	2.11	17.9	14.1	3.79
James White	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	16.4	16.7	-0.21	12.9	14.8	-1.94
Marcus Camby	13	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	11	-17	15.9	16.7	-0.83	15.0	14.6	0.42
Carmelo Anthony	29	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.16	-15	20	-35	17.0	16.5	0.58	13.2	15.3	-2.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	41	41	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.21	17	-22	39	14.8	14.5	0.33	18.5	15.1	3.40
Luke Walton	52	51	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-13	21	15.0	14.2	0.78	18.0	15.0	2.98
Daniel Gibson	20	19	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-4	3	14.5	14.7	-0.13	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Tristan Thompson	61	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-5	5	14.3	15.3	-0.92	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Alonzo Gee	55	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	2	-9	13.7	16.1	-2.47	16.8	16.4	0.37
CJ Miles	44	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-7	9	14.9	14.4	0.42	16.5	16.8	-0.29
Kyrie Irving	70	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	6	-17	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.0	18.7	-2.62
Marreese Speights	61	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	13	-31	15.4	13.1	2.26	15.8	18.4	-2.66
Wayne Ellington	51	54	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.38	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.4	0.40	16.1	17.4	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0	91.3%
MIL 100, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.08,0	90.9%
TOR 104, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.31,0.07,0.01,0,0	90.8%