NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	6.3 [529]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +15.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	13.4 [152]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (LAC): -7.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.10	0.02	13	73%	0.23	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.06	0.04	10	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.05	0.06	14	62%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	5	42%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	17	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	67%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.02	16	66%	0.13	4	-0.13	6	83%	-0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	16	47%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.7	16.5	25.6	2.5	30.2	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.3%

TOR +0.2%

LAC -17.3%

TOR +29.2%

LAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.3	118.2	101.1	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		109.6	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.5	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	14.5	17.7	18.8	16.4
LAC	14.5	15.5	16.6	19.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	71	70	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.05	20	-5	25	16.5	16.3	0.18	16.6	15.1	1.47
Jose Calderon	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.10	18	-3	21	16.5	16.3	0.25	16.4	15.9	0.51
Marco Belinelli	49	50	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.14	25	-10	35	15.9	17.1	-1.23	16.8	15.6	1.29
Andrea Bargnani	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-3	21	16.8	15.6	1.17	16.1	16.7	-0.63
Antoine Wright	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	17	-19	17.3	15.5	1.78	16.0	16.6	-0.54
DeMar DeRozan	22	22	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	15.8	16.7	-0.89	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Hedo Turkoglu	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	6	3	16.5	16.3	0.24	16.4	16.1	0.38
Amir Johnson	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	10	-5	15.7	17.0	-1.31	16.5	16.1	0.37
Rasho Nesterovic	9	10	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	28	-41	16.8	16.4	0.37	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Jarrett Jack	29	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	25	-35	16.2	16.6	-0.35	15.9	16.5	-0.63

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	11	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-22	29	15.5	16.4	-0.95	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Craig Smith	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-17	19	16.7	16.1	0.63	16.8	16.3	0.57
Kareem Rush	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-13	11	15.7	16.4	-0.73	14.9	16.8	-1.93
Rasual Butler	57	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-9	3	15.6	17.6	-2.05	16.5	16.3	0.24
Sebastian Telfair	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-12	9	17.0	15.9	1.09	16.3	16.5	-0.25
Al Thornton	65	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-4	-7	16.0	17.2	-1.20	16.5	16.4	0.04
Steve Novak	31	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-8	1	17.7	15.5	2.15	17.1	16.1	1.05
Baron Davis	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	-1	-13	16.4	15.6	0.81	16.6	15.7	0.86
Marcus Camby	68	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.05	-19	4	-23	16.0	17.2	-1.25	16.2	17.3	-1.17
Chris Kaman	64	64	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.02	-22	7	-29	16.5	15.7	0.73	16.8	15.6	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.31,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	91.5%
MIL 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.39,0.15,0.03,0.06,0.04,0	91.2%
NYK 102, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.07,0	90.8%