inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Excitement7.2 [381] MVPKeyon Dooling (MIL): +15.1%
Dallas Mavericks 99 Comeback9.6 [40] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -7.4%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.150.080.070.001064%0.1500.005100%0.11
Andrew Bogut0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.080.021270%0.182-0.05617%-0.09
Brandon Jennings0.130,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.130.020.09-0.021957%0.244-0.112100%0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.01582%0.151-0.02786%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.010.011155%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jon Brockman0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
John Salmons0.040,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.060.07-0.02736%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00944%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.140.140.090.03-0.032459%0.273-0.133100%0.04
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.08-0.00970%0.182-0.042100%0.02
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.01579%0.0900.00475%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.01769%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.01840%-0.0400.004100%0.02
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.011137%-0.022-0.03250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.04-0.03225%-0.0710.0040%-0.13
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.050.01855%0.083-0.15683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.527.617.425.41.835.3132.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +25.1%
MIL +1.6%
MIL +7.9%
MIL +15.1%
MIL +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDALNBAMILDALNBA
this game16.315.315.5114.4107.6105.7
season16.215.7100.1108.5
opponent15.715.4103.8100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL17.916.014.616.716.3
DAL14.214.618.813.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova45460.96-0.461.420.3720-163615.117.5-2.4015.015.7-0.65
Brandon Jennings78800.72-0.220.930.3014-102416.117.5-1.3715.117.2-2.19
Andrew Bogut75790.65-0.150.800.3012-82016.614.91.7316.011.54.44
John Salmons60610.60-0.100.700.5422016.515.80.7214.516.9-2.39
Keyon Dooling53530.52-0.020.530.375-1615.617.3-1.6315.215.5-0.29
Luc Mbah a Moute2324-0.000.50-0.500.26-913-2216.216.4-0.1814.715.6-0.92
Chris Douglas-Roberts4950-0.020.52-0.54-0.175-1616.216.5-0.2817.213.23.97
Jon Brockman33-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-26-821.316.15.204.015.7-11.73
Corey Maggette1414-0.160.66-0.810.02-610-1616.116.3-0.2015.615.30.26
Larry Sanders1110-0.200.70-0.910.15-1216-2818.216.12.1312.115.7-3.64
Drew Gooden3940-0.480.98-1.47-0.22-913-2217.415.51.9816.214.71.46

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood35350.25-0.751.000.105-91416.914.42.5717.415.61.74
Shawn Marion52510.12-0.620.740.15-1-3215.615.00.6615.816.9-1.08
Caron Butler5553-0.01-0.490.49-0.217-111815.115.7-0.6416.116.6-0.57
Steve Novak11-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-447.015.4-8.442.016.5-14.47
DeShawn Stevenson2827-0.02-0.480.45-0.082-6816.015.10.8917.615.81.83
Jason Terry6160-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-3215.115.8-0.7415.518.0-2.48
Jose Juan Barea3737-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.22-84-1216.614.52.1816.416.20.21
Dirk Nowitzki7372-0.550.05-0.59-0.43-40-415.116.2-1.0216.913.92.96
Jason Kidd6261-0.680.18-0.85-0.41-95-1414.816.5-1.7616.116.7-0.56
Tyson Chandler5653-0.760.26-1.02-0.44-117-1814.516.7-2.1716.216.5-0.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.39,0.15,0.03,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 114, NYK 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,091.5%
TOR 101, LAL 920.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,091.2%
TOR 104, LAC 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.31,0.07,0.01,0,091.2%