NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	7.5 [393]		MVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (NYK): +17.7%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	4.0 [229]		LVP	Noah Vonleh (NYK): -12.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.13	0.01	9	60%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Kent Bazemore	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.01	16	56%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
John Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	15	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	20	68%	0.28	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.02	17	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	13	39%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.1	14.6	26.2	1.8	36.0	134.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.5%

NYK -4.4%

ATL +31.1%

NYK -7.5%

NYK -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	14.3	110.7	103.9	109.3
season	13.6	14.5		107.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	13.9		112.5	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	12.2	15.5	15.1	14.3
NYK	13.6	13.1	14.5	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	73	71	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-11	29	13.9	15.2	-1.26	13.4	14.4	-0.99
Trae Young	61	58	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.34	14	-7	21	14.8	13.6	1.18	13.7	13.6	0.12
Kevin Huerter	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-12	31	13.8	15.5	-1.69	14.1	12.4	1.69
DeAndre' Bembry	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	6	-5	13.6	15.3	-1.76	12.6	15.5	-2.92
Alex Len	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	9	-11	13.7	14.7	-0.96	13.6	13.8	-0.24
Kent Bazemore	62	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	3	1	15.2	12.8	2.44	13.9	13.4	0.48
Dewayne Dedmon	58	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	14.8	13.6	1.23	14.2	12.9	1.34
Daniel Hamilton	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	14	-21	13.4	14.3	-0.97	13.7	13.7	0.07
Vince Carter	27	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	15	-23	15.3	13.9	1.39	14.0	13.6	0.43
Jeremy Lin	43	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.07	-8	15	-23	14.0	14.5	-0.51	13.9	13.6	0.31

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	42	42	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.09	13	-20	33	12.3	14.6	-2.29	14.8	13.9	0.87
Courtney Lee	21	20	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.12	5	-12	17	13.6	13.7	-0.09	16.6	13.7	2.95
Luke Kornet	25	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-8	9	14.1	13.6	0.52	14.6	14.2	0.38
Frank Ntilikina	29	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-7	7	13.8	13.6	0.14	15.2	13.9	1.32
Damyean Dotson	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	14.4	13.3	1.12	13.6	14.6	-0.94
Enes Kanter	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	2	-11	14.2	13.2	0.95	13.8	14.8	-1.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	74	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	0	-7	13.6	13.8	-0.14	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Noah Vonleh	76	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	4	-15	13.8	13.4	0.33	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Kevin Knox	81	80	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.39	-11	4	-15	13.8	13.2	0.65	13.8	15.8	-2.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	80	83	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.46	-12	5	-17	13.4	14.5	-1.07	14.5	13.5	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	91.7%
PHX 103, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.1,0.09,0,0	91.6%
MIL 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.39,0.15,0.03,0.06,0.04,0	91.5%