NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	7.1 [329]		MVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): +13.4%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	9.6 [54]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -27.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	14	66%	0.20	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	12	53%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Johan Petro	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sundiata Gaines	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	22	49%	0.04	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.04	9	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	1	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	41%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	13	39%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	13	33%	-0.15	4	-0.13	13	54%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	31.0	15.5	28.3	1.7	36.4	139.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.7%

NJN +3.6%

NJN +31.2%

WAS -6.7%

WAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.6	96.8	91.3	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		101.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	19.5	15.1	16.2	16.7
WAS	14.0	13.2	15.5	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	74	75	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.36	25	-19	44	16.0	19.1	-3.08	15.1	11.8	3.24
Johan Petro	47	49	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.36	24	-18	42	16.1	17.2	-1.02	15.2	13.7	1.49
Deron Williams	77	77	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.35	23	-17	40	16.0	19.6	-3.59	14.9	12.5	2.39
Anthony Morrow	49	50	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-8	22	14.8	18.7	-3.89	15.4	13.4	2.04
Damion James	73	74	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-8	22	16.3	17.8	-1.46	14.7	13.6	1.06
DeShawn Stevenson	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	5	-4	5.0	16.8	-11.78	7.0	14.5	-7.55
Sundiata Gaines	37	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.18	3	3	0	17.6	16.0	1.56	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Jordan Farmar	12	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	16	-26	20.1	16.1	3.94	10.6	15.0	-4.35
Mehmet Okur	40	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	16	-26	17.5	16.0	1.52	14.2	14.6	-0.39
MarShon Brooks	16	15	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.02	-17	23	-40	19.6	16.0	3.59	12.5	14.9	-2.39
Shawne Williams	22	20	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.05	-17	23	-40	18.0	16.3	1.70	13.7	14.7	-0.92
Shelden Williams	18	16	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.00	-19	25	-44	19.1	16.1	3.04	12.6	14.9	-2.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	17	18	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.19	4	-10	14	13.8	14.6	-0.86	18.6	16.2	2.42
Ronny Turiaf	41	43	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.40	15	-21	36	13.7	15.1	-1.33	17.9	15.6	2.37
Roger Mason Jr.	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	16.9	14.2	2.64	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Shelvin Mack	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	14.1	14.5	-0.47	19.0	16.2	2.79
Rashard Lewis	48	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-8	10	15.0	13.9	1.16	15.3	18.1	-2.81
Jordan Crawford	54	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	14.1	14.9	-0.77	16.0	17.6	-1.52
Nick Young	35	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-7	8	13.6	15.0	-1.40	17.0	16.4	0.55
Chris Singleton	40	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	5	-16	14.8	14.2	0.54	18.3	15.4	2.84
John Wall	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	14.4	14.8	-0.40	16.2	19.0	-2.79
JaVale McGee	51	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	14	-34	15.1	13.7	1.33	15.8	17.6	-1.86
Andray Blatche	75	74	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	4	-14	14.6	13.8	0.86	16.4	17.6	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.46,0.31,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	91.6%
TOR 104, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.31,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.5%
ATL 114, NYK 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	91.4%