NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	6.3 [560]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +27.3%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	6.8 [312]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -8.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.15	0.13	0.00	22	61%	0.30	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.06
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	11	72%	0.24	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.02	12	73%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	6	81%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	6	29%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	7	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	14	73%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.06	0.03	13	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	20	59%	0.18	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.11
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	10	48%	0.00	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	31.6	18.7	26.3	2.7	33.4	140.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.0%

DAL +18.0%

DAL +7.4%

GSW -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.5	120.4	111.6	105.7
season	15.7	14.8		108.5	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	16.6	13.1	17.1	15.7
GSW	13.8	15.4	15.7	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	72	72	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.25	18	-12	30	16.3	13.7	2.58	15.3	13.9	1.41
Rodrigue Beaubois	71	73	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-5	16	15.5	16.5	-1.04	15.3	13.7	1.63
Jason Kidd	67	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-2	10	15.2	16.9	-1.68	14.9	15.0	-0.04
Jason Terry	71	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-13	32	16.4	13.6	2.72	15.3	13.7	1.57
Dirk Nowitzki	68	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	2	2	15.9	15.2	0.64	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Ian Mahinmi	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	12	-18	14.3	15.8	-1.54	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Jose Juan Barea	30	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	10	-14	15.4	15.9	-0.51	14.0	15.4	-1.32
Corey Brewer	13	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.22	-14	20	-34	13.8	16.0	-2.17	12.9	15.3	-2.33
Shawn Marion	51	53	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.26	2	4	-2	16.6	14.6	2.03	15.4	14.3	1.12
Brian Cardinal	15	15	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	14	-22	12.2	16.4	-4.18	13.0	15.3	-2.30

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	45	41	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-6	6	15.6	14.3	1.26	15.7	15.7	-0.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	23	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-7	8	14.8	15.0	-0.15	16.1	15.6	0.56
Dorell Wright	81	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-8	10	15.2	13.4	1.85	16.0	14.3	1.72
Al Thornton	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	3	-12	15.8	14.8	1.02	16.1	15.6	0.51
David Lee	80	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-7	8	14.1	19.6	-5.54	15.1	19.1	-4.08
Ekpe Udoh	36	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.5	1.13	15.9	15.6	0.26
Acie Law	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	0	-6	14.4	15.4	-0.94	16.2	15.2	1.03
Monta Ellis	86	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	15.2	12.0	3.24	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Stephen Curry	65	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	4	-14	14.6	15.7	-1.07	15.5	16.1	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.46,0.31,0.05,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	91.6%
ATL 114, NYK 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	91.1%
MIL 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.39,0.15,0.03,0.06,0.04,0	91.0%