NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	5.9 [608]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +18.4%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.2 [418]		LVP	Rudy Gay (TOR): -21.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.03	13	71%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	86%	0.18	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.07	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	14	29%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	17	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	0.07	17	45%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.03	-0.02	11	25%	-0.10	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	28.5	16.8	24.3	2.5	43.5	144.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.4%

WAS +0.5%

WAS +17.2%

TOR -15.2%

WAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.4	92.8	87.5	104.1
season	15.1	16.1		98.8	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	14.0	15.0	16.3	14.7
TOR	13.3	18.0	16.3	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-3	12	15.5	11.5	4.02	15.9	12.9	2.94
Trevor Ariza	53	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	2	2	14.6	14.7	-0.10	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Nene	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-4	14	15.7	13.0	2.66	15.6	14.4	1.26
Trevor Booker	51	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	14.6	14.8	-0.21	16.0	14.4	1.60
A.J. Price	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	5	-4	14.5	14.8	-0.35	16.2	14.2	1.96
Emeka Okafor	63	63	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	3	0	14.7	14.7	-0.06	15.5	14.6	0.87
John Wall	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	1	4	14.8	14.5	0.35	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Martell Webster	72	72	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	10	-14	14.3	15.7	-1.41	14.2	18.0	-3.82
Chris Singleton	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	10.3	15.1	-4.78	13.4	15.4	-1.91
Garrett Temple	4	3	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	7	-8	1.5	15.2	-13.74	5.0	15.5	-10.51

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-4	2	17.8	14.9	2.93	12.2	15.0	-2.81
Terrence Ross	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	17.5	14.9	2.57	15.5	14.6	0.99
Jonas Valanciunas	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	0	-6	16.1	14.7	1.43	14.2	14.9	-0.74
John Lucas III	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-3	0	15.9	14.8	1.07	15.1	14.5	0.63
Andrea Bargnani	41	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-4	2	15.7	14.8	0.88	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Kyle Lowry	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.9	-1.07	14.5	15.1	-0.63
Rudy Gay	82	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.5	13.4	2.13	15.0	12.5	2.55
Amir Johnson	76	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	14.4	17.9	-3.50	14.9	13.7	1.22
Alan Anderson	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-4	2	14.6	15.8	-1.28	14.7	14.6	0.09
DeMar DeRozan	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	14.6	17.9	-3.24	14.7	14.5	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
NOK 105, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%
ATL 83, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%