inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 83 Excitement5.7 [407] MVPRusty LaRue (CHI): +0.8%
Chicago Bulls 67 Comeback1.2 [668] LVPAndrew Lang (CHI): -17.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00567%0.022-0.022100%0.00
Mark West-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03250%0.011-0.0340%-0.03
Tyrone Corbin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02125%-0.031-0.00250%-0.01
Grant Long-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01950%0.001-0.03887%0.04
Steven Smith-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.01-0.031450%0.064-0.09667%0.01
Ed Gray-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00737%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Alan Henderson-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.011345%-0.051-0.03580%0.01
Mookie Blaylock-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.000.03850%-0.013-0.094100%-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis-0.100,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.01737%-0.052-0.052100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rusty LaRue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.04625%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kornel David0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Benjamin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01756%-0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Cory Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.001100%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Keith Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.020.00250%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.05-0.032450%0.003-0.06667%-0.02
Brent Barry0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.021336%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Charles R. Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0040%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00631%-0.072-0.07475%-0.01
Andrew Lang0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.14-0.04-0.011225%-0.103-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.827.215.729.00.231.2129.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +17.2%
ATL +18.0%
ATL +9.8%
ATL +0.3%
ATL +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHINBAATLCHINBA
this game15.917.415.896.577.099.6
season16.716.797.290.6
opponent15.416.3101.194.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.614.017.117.715.9
CHI17.320.214.917.417.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Long47470.61-0.110.73-0.0021-52614.118.0-3.8318.316.32.04
Mookie Blaylock67680.54-0.040.580.071601615.716.5-0.8217.018.8-1.84
Dikembe Mutombo71720.450.050.400.13115616.015.50.5117.317.8-0.48
Ed Gray27270.310.190.11-0.04124816.715.51.1418.317.01.24
Steven Smith69690.280.220.060.10610-415.616.9-1.2416.620.4-3.84
Tyrone Corbin16150.240.26-0.03-0.11124814.716.1-1.3920.116.83.22
Alan Henderson62640.070.43-0.360.16-319-2217.212.54.7516.719.3-2.53
Mark West15150.050.45-0.40-0.10511-615.516.0-0.5117.817.30.48
LaPhonso Ellis3739-0.000.50-0.51-0.00016-1616.215.60.6317.217.6-0.45
Anthony Johnson1919-0.040.54-0.58-0.04016-1616.515.70.8218.817.01.84

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kornel David220.00-0.500.500.06-2-141215.517.4-1.9517.515.81.65
Corey Benjamin220.00-0.500.500.06-2-141215.517.4-1.9517.515.81.65
Andrew Lang4745-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-192217.017.9-0.8717.414.23.27
Rusty LaRue3129-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-8017.817.20.6815.416.1-0.71
Cory Carr1415-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-12818.617.21.3915.416.0-0.59
Ron Harper5655-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-141217.018.2-1.2316.914.12.84
Charles R. Jones1111-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-4-12816.317.6-1.2913.116.3-3.20
Keith Booth1921-0.24-0.260.02-0.00-8-8017.417.40.0215.116.1-0.98
Mark Bryant6969-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-7-9217.118.4-1.3115.617.2-1.68
Bill Wennington2423-0.30-0.20-0.110.11-14-2-1218.417.01.4016.515.70.81
Toni Kukoc7977-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-6-10417.318.6-1.3515.816.8-1.00
Brent Barry4948-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-14-2-1217.816.90.9516.215.50.73
Dickey Simpkins3233-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.07-12-4-817.917.10.8513.917.1-3.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 105, SAS 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.02,0,0,094.8%
ORL 96, WAS 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,094.7%
LAL 98, VAN 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,094.4%