NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Excitement	6.1 [560]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +10.8%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	1.3 [485]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -13.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	16	76%	0.22	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	19	46%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Lee Mayberry	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Chris Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	17	67%	0.19	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Kempton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	18	52%	0.05	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	8	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	25.5	15.7	27.0	1.8	28.3	128.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +33.7%

VAN +2.5%

VAN +5.6%

VAN +7.4%

VAN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SAS	NBA	VAN	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.6	119.3	101.1	104.4
season	16.3	16.8		97.9	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.3	15.5	16.6	17.5	16.2
SAS	17.5	16.5	15.4	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.02	21	-5	26	16.1	16.7	-0.60	16.4	17.8	-1.44
Chris Robinson	46	43	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	-2	20	16.6	15.8	0.76	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	57	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	8	0	15.9	16.8	-0.93	16.9	15.6	1.29
Bryant Reeves	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	3	10	16.2	16.2	-0.06	17.9	14.3	3.55
Lawrence Moten	28	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	7	2	15.8	16.4	-0.61	16.7	16.4	0.28
George Lynch	73	73	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	10	-4	16.2	16.1	0.17	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Roy Rogers	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	13	-10	16.2	16.2	0.06	14.3	17.9	-3.55
Anthony Peeler	71	70	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	14	-12	16.5	15.2	1.27	16.6	16.1	0.52

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Kempton	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	28.5	16.2	12.26	0.0	16.6	-16.58
Greg Anderson	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-15	14	14.1	17.1	-3.05	17.4	15.9	1.51
Carl Herrera	41	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.19	5	-21	26	18.1	15.1	3.04	17.1	15.4	1.63
Monty Williams	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-13	10	16.6	16.5	0.11	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Cory Alexander	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-12	8	17.6	16.4	1.15	16.2	16.2	0.02
Avery Johnson	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-4	-8	16.3	17.0	-0.71	15.0	19.5	-4.47
Vernon Maxwell	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	14.8	18.9	-4.09	17.1	15.0	2.03
Vinny Del Negro	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-10	4	18.3	14.1	4.21	16.9	15.2	1.62
Dominique Wilkins	56	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	1	-18	14.9	19.3	-4.33	17.3	14.2	3.05
Sean Elliott	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-3	-10	16.5	16.6	-0.11	16.2	16.0	0.24
Will Perdue	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	2	-20	17.2	15.1	2.08	14.8	19.2	-4.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
LAL 98, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	93.9%
UTA 104, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.9%