NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	5.3 [740]		MVP	Tiago Splitter (SAS): +13.6%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	1.9 [436]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -11.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.09	0.04	7	80%	0.20	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Danny Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	10	72%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	18	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Gary Neal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	14	57%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	11	37%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Marquis Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	13	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.6	32.6	15.0	25.2	2.4	29.4	127.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.7%

SAS +8.7%

CHI -29.0%

SAS +34.8%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.4	114.4	100.0	104.1
season	15.2	16.6		106.4	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.1	12.4	16.7	14.4	15.3
CHI	17.9	18.3	14.7	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	70	70	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.10	22	-8	30	15.5	14.7	0.76	17.0	16.5	0.47
Boris Diaw	65	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.01	23	-9	32	15.5	14.7	0.84	17.7	14.5	3.21
Kawhi Leonard	81	81	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.03	24	-10	34	15.3	15.3	-0.05	17.3	12.7	4.56
Tiago Splitter	61	61	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.02	23	-9	32	15.3	15.3	-0.08	17.5	15.7	1.78
Nando De Colo	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	3	8	15.5	14.9	0.53	17.3	16.0	1.31
Aron Baynes	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	9.5	15.4	-5.92	13.0	17.0	-3.99
DeJuan Blair	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	18	-22	14.7	15.4	-0.70	14.4	17.3	-2.87
Patty Mills	13	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	20	-26	14.7	15.4	-0.70	13.2	17.4	-4.24
Gary Neal	46	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	23	-32	15.0	15.6	-0.64	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Matt Bonner	39	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	27	-40	15.4	15.2	0.26	15.5	17.9	-2.37

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Teague	2	3	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-15	16	13.0	17.0	-3.99	10.7	15.4	-4.78
Daequan Cook	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	13.0	17.0	-3.99	9.5	15.4	-5.92
Richard Hamilton	51	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-13	12	15.4	18.9	-3.48	16.5	13.7	2.73
Joakim Noah	72	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-15	16	16.3	19.4	-3.03	15.9	12.9	3.00
Taj Gibson	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-13	12	16.6	17.2	-0.65	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Luol Deng	74	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-13	12	16.5	19.0	-2.53	16.0	11.5	4.51
Jimmy Butler	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	17.9	16.2	1.65	13.9	16.3	-2.37
Marco Belinelli	35	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	18.7	15.7	3.04	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Carlos Boozer	55	56	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.08	-24	10	-34	17.6	15.8	1.74	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Nate Robinson	72	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.08	-22	8	-30	17.5	14.4	3.07	15.2	15.8	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	92.9%
HOU 87, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.9%
POR 80, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%