NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	5.4 [707]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +14.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	78		Comeback	1.4 [941]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -10.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	12	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	12	75%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.02	16	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	11	58%	0.06	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	28.7	15.0	29.1	1.8	32.0	130.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +18.4%

DET +10.8%

PHI -11.2%

DET +31.2%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	19.2	16.3	15.4	106.2	96.3	105.7
season	16.8	15.2		108.8	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.8		104.2	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.4	20.2	19.8	20.6	19.2
PHI	18.7	17.7	16.2	12.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	63	63	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-8	24	19.7	17.8	1.82	17.1	13.4	3.75
Chauncey Billups	58	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-3	14	19.6	18.4	1.13	17.5	13.1	4.36
Amir Johnson	23	23	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-4	16	20.6	18.7	1.90	18.1	15.6	2.48
Antonio McDyess	57	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-4	16	19.5	18.5	1.00	16.7	15.2	1.55
Arron Afflalo	22	22	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	0	8	20.8	18.7	2.09	19.4	15.2	4.19
Richard Hamilton	67	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	10	-12	18.8	21.4	-2.64	14.9	22.7	-7.80
Rasheed Wallace	64	62	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	10	-12	18.8	20.9	-2.14	15.6	18.7	-3.17
Rodney Stuckey	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	11	-14	18.4	19.6	-1.13	13.1	17.5	-4.36
Jason Maxiell	16	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	13	-18	18.5	19.4	-0.93	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Jarvis Hayes	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	15	-22	16.2	19.8	-3.52	13.1	16.9	-3.79

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	37	36	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.16	10	-18	28	16.4	16.2	0.18	19.9	18.8	1.11
Rodney Carney	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-9	10	17.2	16.1	1.10	20.7	18.8	1.83
Thaddeus Young	35	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-6	4	16.8	15.9	0.92	18.8	19.5	-0.67
Lou Williams	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-12	16	14.9	17.7	-2.85	21.2	17.4	3.81
Willie Green	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	16.0	16.6	-0.63	19.2	19.3	-0.11
Gordan Giricek	7	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	0	-8	17.4	16.2	1.23	15.5	19.7	-4.16
Reggie Evans	29	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	6	-20	17.9	15.4	2.42	18.4	19.7	-1.24
Andre Iguodala	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	16.0	19.7	-3.63	18.9	23.7	-4.77
Samuel Dalembert	63	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	16.1	17.2	-1.10	19.0	20.3	-1.33
Andre Miller	56	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	7	-22	16.6	15.7	0.91	19.0	19.7	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
LAL 98, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
PHX 107, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.1%