NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	5.5 [693]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +9.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	74		Comeback	2.3 [313]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -25.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	16	64%	0.24	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.03
Greg Oden	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	18	54%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	8	12%	-0.13	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.14	0.03	15	28%	-0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.8	28.0	15.6	22.9	1.8	44.2	141.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.1%

POR +11.3%

CHA -2.5%

CHA -10.5%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	17.9	15.3	95.2	90.2	106.0
season	16.7	16.2		108.8	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	16.7	17.7	18.0	16.8
CHA	17.8	17.6	19.3	17.1	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	67	65	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.30	15	-9	24	17.4	14.4	3.01	18.1	17.1	1.06
Brandon Roy	70	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	16.5	18.6	-2.11	18.6	14.9	3.72
Greg Oden	26	27	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-3	12	20.0	15.4	4.68	20.7	16.5	4.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	16.8	16.7	0.13	18.4	16.5	1.92
Steve Blake	56	55	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-3	12	15.4	19.7	-4.36	18.6	16.4	2.23
Joel Przybilla	47	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	6	-6	16.7	17.0	-0.34	17.3	18.6	-1.31
Juwan Howard	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	3	0	16.7	16.8	-0.13	16.5	18.4	-1.92
Rudy Fernandez	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.34	-11	17	-28	16.7	16.9	-0.19	16.2	20.2	-4.01
Martell Webster	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	16.4	17.0	-0.57	14.7	19.0	-4.35
Travis Outlaw	1	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	18.0	16.8	1.20	17.0	17.9	-0.93

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	13	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-10	14	15.2	18.4	-3.18	16.9	16.8	0.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	18	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-7	8	16.4	18.3	-1.87	15.3	17.2	-1.93
D.J. Augustin	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	16.6	18.9	-2.27	15.6	17.7	-2.15
Ronald Murray	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	16.5	19.0	-2.47	16.9	16.8	0.09
Tyson Chandler	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-12	18	17.7	18.1	-0.34	17.7	15.9	1.78
Nazr Mohammed	20	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	3	-12	19.6	17.3	2.31	16.3	17.0	-0.67
Raja Bell	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	19.1	15.8	3.26	16.8	16.7	0.11
Gerald Wallace	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-6	6	17.8	18.5	-0.72	16.9	16.2	0.74
Boris Diaw	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	2	-10	18.1	16.5	1.64	16.9	16.5	0.32
Raymond Felton	56	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	8	-22	18.9	15.7	3.29	17.3	15.8	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.3%
NYK 75, ORL 68	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.0%
SAS 103, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.6%