NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	5.5 [729]		MVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): +15.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	81		Comeback	2.4 [255]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -18.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.02	12	73%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	21	53%	0.11	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	19	31%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	22	47%	-0.01	3	-0.08	24	83%	0.05
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	75%	0.09	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	8%	-0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	20	43%	-0.04	7	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.3	28.3	15.5	28.5	2.6	33.3	133.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +68.2%

PHI -17.2%

PHI -21.5%

HOU +21.8%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.6	88.8	82.7	104.4
season	16.1	15.2		99.9	104.1
opponent	15.3	16.1		106.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	14.7	13.4	17.0	14.8
PHI	12.6	15.3	14.9	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	84	84	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-10	26	14.7	15.4	-0.71	15.2	10.9	4.25
Luther Head	61	62	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-6	18	15.4	13.8	1.66	15.1	13.7	1.39
Rafer Alston	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	0	6	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Juwan Howard	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	8	-10	15.0	14.4	0.59	14.8	14.1	0.69
Ryan Bowen	17	16	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-3	12	13.5	15.1	-1.63	15.5	14.4	1.11
David Wesley	61	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	10	-14	14.2	15.8	-1.60	14.9	14.1	0.83
Tracy McGrady	74	75	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	13	-20	14.7	15.2	-0.57	13.9	16.7	-2.72
Charles Hayes	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	19.8	14.5	5.25	7.4	15.0	-7.56
Stromile Swift	40	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	5	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.28	14.0	15.0	-1.07

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	23	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	15.0	14.4	0.62	17.8	14.0	3.75
Kevin Ollie	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-7	8	16.6	14.1	2.49	13.9	15.0	-1.08
Shavlik Randolph	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-7	8	13.3	14.8	-1.46	16.7	14.6	2.11
Andre Iguodala	81	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-10	14	13.8	18.1	-4.22	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Kyle Korver	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-3	0	15.9	14.1	1.80	14.7	14.9	-0.14
Samuel Dalembert	83	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-4	2	14.7	13.9	0.75	14.5	16.8	-2.25
Allen Iverson	93	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	14.5	15.8	-1.29	14.8	14.4	0.44
John Salmons	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	9	-24	14.4	15.1	-0.73	15.0	14.2	0.81
Chris Webber	76	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	8	-22	14.6	14.5	0.03	14.1	17.2	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.9%
LAC 81, MIA 71	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	92.7%
SAS 79, UTA 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.3%