inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 90 Excitement4.1 [1024] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +19.5%
Detroit Pistons 105 Comeback2.3 [723] LVPGlen Davis (ORL): -10.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0.200,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.260.010.0810108%0.242-0.05475%0.00
Maurice Harkless0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.02367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.014100%0.063-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00560%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeQuan Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.011050%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.0540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02764%-0.014-0.0400%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.03-0.031839%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Glen Davis-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.021631%-0.111-0.00475%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.030.011253%0.0600.00667%-0.01
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.03650%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.02761%0.041-0.00425%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.001354%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.011452%0.0210.001100%0.01
Kim English0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01640%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.031750%0.064-0.07250%-0.01
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.02852%-0.001-0.025100%0.02
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.425.717.623.72.828.3123.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +5.4%
DET +5.0%
DET +18.9%
DET +10.4%
DET +10.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game14.815.915.496.8111.7104.1
season15.515.7100.3102.3
opponent15.515.3106.6107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.414.917.112.414.8
DET15.215.716.416.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle O'Quinn88-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-182113.515.0-1.4815.116.0-0.90
DeQuan Jones88-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-182113.515.0-1.4815.116.0-0.90
Ish Smith1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-171912.215.4-3.2213.116.5-3.48
Andrew Nicholson2122-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-12914.914.80.0115.216.2-0.94
Nikola Vucevic5353-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-161715.214.40.7417.513.93.63
JJ Redick7172-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-131115.014.30.7016.813.03.85
Josh McRoberts1920-0.20-0.300.090.18-13-2-1115.214.80.3914.716.3-1.52
Gustavo Ayon1918-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-5-516.014.61.4516.215.90.27
Jameer Nelson6465-0.24-0.260.03-0.12-4-11714.815.0-0.1716.814.02.87
Maurice Harkless2929-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-4-715.014.80.1714.016.8-2.87
E'Twaun Moore3838-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-3-914.415.1-0.7216.015.90.05
Glen Davis4646-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.04-12-3-915.714.11.5914.917.0-2.07
Arron Afflalo7375-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-172-1914.715.5-0.8315.916.3-0.40

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince47470.54-0.040.580.0118-32115.716.1-0.4016.713.03.66
Brandon Knight66660.380.120.260.1487115.317.6-2.3115.014.60.36
Jason Maxiell44450.360.140.220.01123915.016.8-1.8216.113.72.40
Rodney Stuckey49490.350.150.21-0.1718-32115.916.0-0.1014.315.5-1.15
Andre Drummond48480.310.190.12-0.071321115.516.4-0.9614.215.5-1.28
Greg Monroe55530.300.200.110.1369-316.515.11.4015.514.01.49
Kyle Singler65650.170.33-0.160.17015-1516.215.40.7214.415.9-1.44
Will Bynum52510.120.38-0.26-0.0569-315.416.6-1.1713.916.0-2.18
Charlie Villanueva25240.020.48-0.46-0.01114-1319.114.84.3214.115.1-0.98
Kim English87-0.000.50-0.500.09-318-2115.116.0-0.9012.615.0-2.46
Austin Daye1110-0.060.56-0.620.06-419-2318.715.63.1513.515.0-1.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 94, CLE 1070.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
DEN 77, UTA 1060.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
DEN 89, UTA 990.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%