inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 94 Excitement3.8 [1076] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +32.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 107 Comeback1.8 [921] LVPEric Snow (CLE): -10.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.01-0.021257%0.1000.00683%0.00
Rawle Marshall0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.10-0.020.081860%0.062-0.051275%-0.01
Josh Powell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
DeSagana Diop0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04217%-0.001-0.01250%-0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02644%0.021-0.03475%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.031562%0.064-0.097100%0.03
Darrell Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00433%-0.0200.004100%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00440%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Erick Dampier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00312%-0.061-0.03250%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.350.060.092378%0.342-0.021377%-0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.04960%0.112-0.032100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00760%0.0700.001100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.021148%0.0500.005100%0.03
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03437%0.0300.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Newble00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.04757%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00840%-0.012-0.054100%0.02
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.01517%-0.062-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.11.727.014.829.41.834.0135.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +24.0%
CLE +7.9%
CLE +2.9%
CLE +13.6%
CLE +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALCLENBADALCLENBA
this game16.518.215.6113.3128.9104.4
season16.416.2109.0105.6
opponent15.515.6103.9102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.017.517.114.216.5
CLE15.818.516.422.518.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeSagana Diop3233-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-151716.816.30.5717.019.0-2.05
Rawle Marshall3736-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-161915.717.2-1.4817.019.1-2.08
DJ Mbenga1214-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-141514.316.9-2.5323.417.16.28
Josh Powell2021-0.04-0.460.43-0.092-151713.517.4-3.9422.016.95.02
Darrell Armstrong2424-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-6-115.516.9-1.4618.518.10.36
Jason Terry6163-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-8316.616.30.2418.118.4-0.26
Dirk Nowitzki6666-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.14-5-8316.914.92.0318.318.00.26
Jerry Stackhouse5959-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-3-717.015.21.8717.819.2-1.41
Keith Van Horn3431-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-1-1116.516.5-0.0417.818.4-0.58
Erick Dampier3129-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-174-2118.115.62.5116.918.9-2.01
Marquis Daniels3939-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-174-2117.016.10.9118.218.2-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James75760.470.030.44-0.0016-31918.119.6-1.5716.714.32.41
Drew Gooden42410.350.150.210.06103717.319.1-1.8617.615.52.11
Damon Jones53540.350.150.200.03112919.016.82.1515.817.7-1.89
Donyell Marshall48500.340.160.18-0.041301318.218.3-0.0916.316.7-0.39
Ronald Murray47470.240.26-0.020.0767-117.019.7-2.6818.014.53.47
Sasha Pavlovic16170.220.28-0.05-0.10112915.918.8-2.8915.816.7-0.92
Zydrunas Ilgauskas59580.190.31-0.120.0458-318.218.3-0.1217.015.41.57
Eric Snow40380.150.35-0.200.18-114-1518.018.4-0.3516.816.20.59
Anderson Varejao13120.100.40-0.300.10013-1319.418.01.4015.416.7-1.26
Ira Newble15160.060.44-0.370.06013-1322.617.25.3613.117.3-4.25
Alan Henderson440.010.49-0.470.07-215-1725.017.97.148.016.9-8.92
Stephen Graham320.000.50-0.500.12-417-2119.318.21.1710.516.6-6.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 81, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ORL 90, DET 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
HOU 83, CLE 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%