NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	8.5 [186]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): +58.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	2.4 [204]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -20.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.58	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.58	0.09	0.47	-0.02	8	81%	0.58	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37	0.21	0.17	0.00	11	92%	0.44	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Nene	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.07	0.03	17	62%	0.19	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Kevin Seraphin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	8	33%	-0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.29	0.29	0.05	0.24	0.01	14	57%	0.32	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	17	50%	0.27	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	10	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.14	0.01	10	70%	0.12	4	-0.24	3	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	27.2	14.8	27.0	1.8	28.3	124.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +13.4%

WAS +5.9%

WAS +10.1%

WAS +22.2%

POR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.4	104.3	100.0	104.1
season	15.1	15.8		98.8	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.6	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	15.0	13.2	19.0	15.2
POR	14.9	15.6	16.8	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	74	73	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-8	19	15.3	14.7	0.61	15.8	13.8	1.98
Emeka Okafor	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-6	15	15.5	14.6	0.88	15.6	14.9	0.70
John Wall	52	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.49	-6	9	-15	16.0	14.2	1.75	14.2	16.7	-2.50
Nene	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	0	3	15.5	14.6	0.85	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Bradley Beal	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-9	21	14.3	16.3	-1.98	16.4	14.0	2.38
Jordan Crawford	43	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.47	-9	12	-21	16.3	14.3	1.98	14.0	16.4	-2.38
A.J. Price	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-6	15	14.2	16.0	-1.75	16.7	14.2	2.50
Kevin Seraphin	29	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	3	-3	14.4	15.5	-1.06	15.9	15.0	0.95
Trevor Ariza	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	7	-11	15.2	15.2	-0.03	14.8	15.6	-0.89
Trevor Booker	20	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.06	-10	13	-23	13.9	15.5	-1.56	13.9	15.7	-1.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-10	17	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Will Barton	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-9	15	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.4	15.1	0.34
Luke Babbitt	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	15.0	15.5	-0.49	15.6	15.0	0.66
Victor Claver	21	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	15.4	15.3	0.11	12.8	15.8	-3.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	15.6	14.3	1.29	15.2	15.1	0.10
Meyers Leonard	25	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	5	-13	14.8	15.5	-0.73	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Nicolas Batum	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	15.3	15.2	0.13	15.5	13.3	2.20
JJ Hickson	57	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-4	5	15.4	15.2	0.18	15.7	14.5	1.14
Wesley Matthews	67	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	7	-17	15.6	14.7	0.87	15.4	14.7	0.62
Damian Lillard	74	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	7	-17	15.4	14.9	0.50	15.3	14.9	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.09,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.02,0	92.8%
CLE 120, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.15,0,0	91.7%
MIN 89, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.05,0	91.3%