NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Excitement	8.4 [211]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +19.5%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	3.7 [572]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -14.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.28	2	-0.09	8	75%	0.05
Kyrie Irving	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.10	0.02	22	60%	0.26	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	6	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	13	52%	0.16	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.06
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	19	53%	0.09	5	-0.19	9	89%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	9	72%	0.18	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	13	63%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	14	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	22	47%	-0.02	4	-0.12	18	67%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	32.5	15.7	27.2	2.5	38.6	142.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +13.6%

CLE +25.2%

CLE +26.9%

SAC -25.3%

CLE +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	14.9	118.8	107.8	105.1
season	15.8	13.9		110.3	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.9		107.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	16.0	11.6	17.0	14.9
SAC	12.7	13.4	16.5	10.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	71	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.08	20	-11	31	15.0	14.7	0.31	14.1	11.6	2.49
Tristan Thompson	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-3	15	14.8	15.2	-0.39	13.7	12.1	1.57
LeBron James	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-7	23	15.0	14.8	0.17	13.5	12.8	0.70
Kyrie Irving	82	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	0	9	15.1	14.1	1.00	13.6	12.4	1.15
Iman Shumpert	42	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	4	1	14.8	15.0	-0.19	11.2	14.9	-3.63
Matthew Dellavedova	51	54	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	9	-9	14.0	15.9	-1.90	13.0	13.7	-0.62
J.R. Smith	57	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	15.8	13.8	1.95	14.0	12.4	1.57
Channing Frye	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	15	-21	15.0	14.9	0.10	13.0	13.4	-0.35
Richard Jefferson	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	19	-29	14.3	15.1	-0.85	11.8	13.9	-2.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	24	23	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-13	17	12.7	13.5	-0.76	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Willie Cauley-Stein	24	22	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	14.5	13.0	1.47	15.9	14.7	1.21
Omri Casspi	51	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-12	15	12.7	13.9	-1.20	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Caron Butler	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-8	7	13.0	13.4	-0.48	14.2	15.1	-0.88
James Anderson	20	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	14.0	13.2	0.89	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Quincy Acy	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-3	-3	13.7	13.1	0.60	15.0	14.8	0.18
Darren Collison	84	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	13.0	14.7	-1.72	15.0	14.3	0.71
Rudy Gay	89	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	13.1	14.9	-1.77	14.8	15.8	-1.06
DeMarcus Cousins	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	3	-15	13.5	12.9	0.55	15.2	14.0	1.17
Rajon Rondo	78	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	9	-27	13.8	12.0	1.81	14.9	15.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	92.7%
POR 95, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.23,0.13,0.01,0	92.5%
IND 96, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	92.5%