NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	7.3 [407]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +42.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	5.5 [107]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -22.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.42	0.25	0.21	0.04	25	73%	0.51	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	64%	0.19	2	-0.08	10	60%	-0.07
Shabazz Napier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	4	-0.16	2	0%	-0.02
Allen Crabbe	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	48%	0.03	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	9%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.02	20	51%	0.09	5	-0.21	7	43%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	15	31%	-0.15	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.3	28.6	14.8	28.2	2.4	35.7	138.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +57.4%

POR +1.9%

MIN -12.5%

POR +6.8%

MIN -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	14.8	101.1	94.7	107.7
season	14.9	15.3		108.6	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	15.9	12.7	16.7	15.0
MIN	16.7	15.4	17.3	13.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	81	81	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-8	22	14.7	16.5	-1.82	15.3	18.1	-2.79
Mason Plumlee	53	54	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-5	16	15.5	14.2	1.28	17.0	13.8	3.21
Al-Farouq Aminu	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-4	14	15.2	14.4	0.75	16.3	14.0	2.31
CJ McCollum	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-1	8	15.2	14.1	1.15	16.3	13.2	3.08
Maurice Harkless	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-4	14	14.2	16.6	-2.40	16.2	14.5	1.72
Evan Turner	58	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.38	-10	16	-26	15.6	13.9	1.70	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Shabazz Napier	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	7	-8	14.1	15.2	-1.15	13.2	16.3	-3.08
Ed Davis	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	16.0	14.8	1.24	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Meyers Leonard	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	8	-10	14.5	15.1	-0.61	14.0	16.2	-2.24
Noah Vonleh	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	12	-18	13.6	15.2	-1.56	13.9	16.0	-2.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	19	19	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-14	22	13.9	16.1	-2.16	17.7	14.3	3.40
Shabazz Muhammad	45	43	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-12	18	15.7	15.6	0.08	15.7	14.4	1.34
Tyus Jones	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-6	6	0.0	15.7	-15.67	4.0	15.1	-11.09
Kris Dunn	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-18	30	13.8	17.3	-3.46	15.7	14.4	1.26
Nemanja Bjelica	33	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-8	10	13.7	16.7	-2.99	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Zach LaVine	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	15.1	17.3	-2.23	15.5	13.3	2.25
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	2	-10	16.5	14.0	2.49	15.1	14.7	0.34
Ricky Rubio	51	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	12	-30	17.3	13.8	3.46	14.4	15.7	-1.26
Gorgui Dieng	73	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	8	-22	16.3	13.5	2.76	14.7	15.7	-0.93
Andrew Wiggins	73	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.20	-17	11	-28	16.2	13.9	2.33	14.1	18.0	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.23,0.13,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 120, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.15,0,0	92.5%
MIL 93, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.16,0	91.9%
GSW 102, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.27,0	91.9%