NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	10.2 [65]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +23.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	4.1 [288]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -11.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	24	47%	0.24	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.08
Al Harrington	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.18	-0.10	0.26	-0.01	14	34%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Andris Biedrins	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	8	55%	0.20	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.09
Mickael Pietrus	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Josh Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.12	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.00	13	66%	0.09	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.20	0.01	13	61%	0.35	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.07
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,0.21	0.21	-0.00	0.21	0.00	20	51%	0.41	4	-0.20	9	78%	0.06
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	9	68%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	28.6	15.6	24.3	2.4	39.4	135.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +24.7%

PHI -33.2%

GSW +48.9%

GSW +4.3%

GSW +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.4	106.2	104.1	104.5
season	13.5	15.5		105.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.5	16.0	14.0	14.9	14.9
PHI	14.8	13.3	17.3	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	80	83	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.74	10	-9	19	14.6	16.3	-1.69	15.2	13.2	2.01
Stephen Jackson	77	78	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-9	19	14.5	16.5	-2.02	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Baron Davis	91	92	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	2	-3	15.0	14.0	0.96	15.2	10.8	4.36
Al Harrington	61	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	4	-7	14.9	15.0	-0.10	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Andris Biedrins	68	69	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-6	13	14.4	16.1	-1.75	15.5	13.5	1.97
Mickael Pietrus	71	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.42	-9	10	-19	15.8	12.4	3.44	14.5	16.1	-1.68
Josh Powell	6	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	0	1	13.5	15.0	-1.50	8.7	15.2	-6.45
Matt Barnes	26	25	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	11	-21	16.1	14.5	1.61	14.5	15.1	-0.56

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	31	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-11	21	13.3	15.7	-2.42	15.4	14.7	0.75
Samuel Dalembert	56	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.21	-9	8	-17	15.6	14.0	1.63	14.3	15.8	-1.58
Steven Hunter	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	4	-9	15.4	14.9	0.48	12.7	15.2	-2.46
Kyle Korver	72	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-12	23	14.1	17.3	-3.21	15.4	13.5	1.93
Joe Smith	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.55	10	-11	21	13.6	16.1	-2.41	15.3	14.6	0.72
Willie Green	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	5	-11	16.3	14.0	2.25	16.2	13.9	2.30
Andre Miller	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	5	-11	15.7	12.2	3.45	14.6	16.0	-1.48
Rodney Carney	62	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	3	-7	15.1	14.7	0.44	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Andre Iguodala	93	91	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	5	-11	15.0	13.2	1.76	14.5	21.4	-6.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.16,0	92.8%
PHX 75, DEN 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.26,0	92.7%
HOU 109, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.34,0.15,0.28,0.06,0.16,0	92.6%