NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	6.8 [432]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +26.7%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.1 [953]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -27.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.08	-0.00	8	106%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	8	70%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	22	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nando De Colo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	22%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	0.01	12	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	59%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	0.02	15	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.07
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	12	35%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	11	37%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27	-0.27	-0.10	-0.14	0.03	16	44%	-0.11	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	25.0	14.8	23.2	2.4	35.6	126.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.4%

SAS +0.4%

ATL -18.6%

SAS +20.7%

ATL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.4	102.1	97.9	104.1
season	15.2	15.1		106.4	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.8	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.4	15.2	15.8	14.9	15.9
ATL	15.2	14.2	13.6	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	15.6	16.8	-1.16	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Tiago Splitter	59	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	15.7	16.4	-0.66	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Kawhi Leonard	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	3	-1	16.1	15.5	0.58	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Boris Diaw	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	5	-5	14.7	17.3	-2.69	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Matt Bonner	46	44	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	0	5	17.3	14.7	2.69	14.3	14.1	0.22
Gary Neal	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	-1	7	16.3	15.7	0.52	14.9	13.7	1.18
Danny Green	70	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	8	-11	15.8	16.2	-0.39	13.8	15.2	-1.31
Stephen Jackson	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	0	5	15.0	16.2	-1.15	15.8	13.9	1.91
DeJuan Blair	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	16.4	15.7	0.66	14.8	13.8	1.04
Nando De Colo	29	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	3	-1	16.8	15.6	1.16	14.2	14.2	0.07

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	35	35	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.10	2	-7	9	14.8	13.8	1.00	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Anthony Tolliver	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-5	5	15.3	14.0	1.33	15.4	16.1	-0.62
Mike Scott	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	3	-11	15.5	14.1	1.42	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Ivan Johnson	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	6	-17	16.5	13.8	2.62	15.9	16.0	-0.03
John Jenkins	45	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	13.6	14.7	-1.14	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Al Horford	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-7	9	14.1	14.6	-0.47	16.0	15.8	0.24
Josh Smith	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.0	14.8	-0.82	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Jeff Teague	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.45	2	-7	9	13.8	15.8	-2.09	15.9	16.1	-0.26
Kyle Korver	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-4	3	14.1	14.7	-0.67	15.9	16.1	-0.13
Zaza Pachulia	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	14.4	13.9	0.43	16.7	14.9	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
IND 89, DET 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%
LAL 124, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.4%