NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	124		Excitement	7.0 [388]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +25.8%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.3 [637]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -8.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.10	-0.00	7	100%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	22	63%	0.20	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	0.16	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.03	29	58%	0.26	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	21	71%	0.25	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.02	10	55%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	17	58%	0.20	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	9	42%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.3	33.5	18.5	28.5	3.5	36.3	148.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.9%

LAL +22.4%

LAL +14.5%

SAC -0.2%

SAC -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	15.5	126.5	117.7	101.6
season	15.4	14.0		105.0	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.1		98.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	15.9	17.3	16.8	16.0
SAC	14.3	13.5	14.0	13.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	82	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.12	19	-8	27	15.3	19.4	-4.08	13.6	14.4	-0.87
Shaquille O'Neal	83	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-3	17	16.1	15.3	0.74	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Rick Fox	54	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-3	17	15.9	16.1	-0.24	14.5	12.8	1.70
Kobe Bryant	89	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	4	3	15.9	16.8	-0.90	13.7	13.6	0.08
Devean George	61	58	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	7	-3	15.8	16.2	-0.41	13.2	14.5	-1.35
Robert Horry	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	5	1	16.2	15.6	0.58	13.7	13.7	0.08
Samaki Walker	14	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	16.2	15.9	0.30	14.3	13.6	0.72
Kareem Rush	19	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	13	-15	16.9	15.7	1.16	14.2	13.6	0.68
Brian Shaw	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	15	-19	17.4	15.5	1.93	13.2	13.9	-0.65

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-15	19	14.0	13.6	0.37	17.9	15.4	2.50
Hedo Turkoglu	51	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-12	13	13.2	14.2	-1.01	17.1	14.6	2.43
Keon Clark	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-11	11	13.2	14.1	-0.94	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Gerald Wallace	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-10	9	14.1	13.4	0.69	16.1	15.9	0.20
Doug Christie	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-1	-9	13.3	14.4	-1.04	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Vlade Divac	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	0	-11	14.3	13.0	1.24	16.4	15.4	0.96
Peja Stojakovic	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	13.8	13.3	0.46	16.0	15.6	0.41
Mike Bibby	76	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	4	-19	13.6	14.0	-0.37	15.4	17.9	-2.50
Jim Jackson	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	6	-23	14.0	13.2	0.80	14.9	17.9	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
UTA 118, SEA 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.5%
UTA 95, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.4%