NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	6.5 [517]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +19.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	1.4 [428]		LVP	Dee Brown (UTA): -9.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.12	0.04	16	66%	0.23	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.02	15	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	10	56%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	10	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	16	65%	0.20	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.07	17	67%	0.14	6	-0.17	14	93%	0.05
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	10	68%	0.05	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	28.1	14.7	29.1	1.7	34.2	133.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.6%

SEA -13.1%

UTA +24.1%

UTA +22.0%

SEA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.4	120.4	112.4	104.5
season	15.9	15.4		107.4	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	15.7	15.2	16.8	15.7
SEA	14.9	12.6	14.7	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-4	17	15.5	16.4	-0.95	13.8	14.1	-0.33
Jarron Collins	26	26	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-7	23	16.0	15.6	0.42	17.5	12.5	5.01
Derek Fisher	35	35	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.00	15	-6	21	16.5	15.2	1.28	14.6	13.4	1.24
Deron Williams	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	7	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.68	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Carlos Boozer	78	74	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	8	-7	15.7	15.8	-0.20	13.2	16.0	-2.78
Paul Millsap	41	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	4	1	16.1	15.4	0.65	13.4	14.2	-0.75
Dee Brown	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	3	3	15.3	15.8	-0.57	14.0	13.8	0.27
Ronnie Brewer	49	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	8	-7	15.5	15.9	-0.33	14.2	13.5	0.73
Mehmet Okur	72	71	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	16	-23	15.6	16.0	-0.42	12.5	17.5	-5.01
CJ Miles	21	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	16	-23	16.0	15.6	0.45	16.1	13.2	2.92

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	40	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-9	9	13.7	13.9	-0.23	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Mouhamed Sene	7	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-5	1	15.0	13.7	1.26	18.0	15.5	2.46
Nick Collison	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-7	5	15.3	13.1	2.25	14.1	16.5	-2.38
Luke Ridnour	72	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-9	9	12.7	17.1	-4.43	15.9	15.1	0.77
Mickael Gelabale	17	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-6	3	11.8	14.3	-2.51	16.4	15.5	0.84
Ray Allen	82	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-9	9	13.4	16.0	-2.56	15.4	17.1	-1.64
Damien Wilkins	42	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	14.5	13.4	1.09	15.8	15.6	0.22
Rashard Lewis	78	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	13.8	14.2	-0.40	16.1	13.5	2.62
Chris Wilcox	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	13.7	14.6	-0.95	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Earl Watson	36	36	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	7	-23	16.4	12.3	4.11	15.5	15.8	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.8%
TOR 112, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	94.5%
POR 88, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%