inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 89 Excitement6.5 [296] MVPSteve Kerr (SAS): +16.7%
Chicago Bulls 76 Comeback1.1 [643] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -24.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.08-0.005110%0.232-0.0600%0.00
Sean Elliott0.030,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.01875%0.134-0.0900%0.00
David Robinson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.030.001059%0.051-0.041771%-0.04
Antonio Daniels0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerard King0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Andrew Gaze0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.01-0.06817%-0.051-0.02250%-0.02
Mario Elie-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.011152%0.013-0.093100%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.030.021637%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.0168%-0.101-0.041100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.20-0.06-0.021241%-0.086-0.171060%-0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.002453%0.072-0.023100%0.01
Cory Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00650%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Kornel David00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rusty LaRue00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Benjamin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01650%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03133%-0.0410.01450%-0.02
Keith Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01250%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00636%-0.051-0.04250%-0.02
Andrew Lang0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.011020%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.021528%-0.102-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.824.015.424.32.529.6121.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.0%
SAS +8.2%
SAS +37.4%
CHI -22.2%
SAS +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHINBASASCHINBA
this game15.915.915.8100.082.699.6
season15.916.7101.190.6
opponent15.415.9101.192.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.114.319.117.615.9
CHI17.415.016.115.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Elie45480.64-0.140.790.0919-62515.416.5-1.1216.415.41.01
Tim Duncan66660.420.080.340.10112915.716.4-0.6516.614.22.45
Jerome Kersey47510.370.130.250.2067-115.616.2-0.6215.017.1-2.14
Avery Johnson65660.360.140.22-0.021301315.716.4-0.6416.514.32.18
Jaren Jackson45450.290.210.080.0876115.416.4-1.0316.115.70.43
Sean Elliott58590.250.250.000.0285316.514.81.6416.614.71.94
David Robinson63650.210.29-0.08-0.08103716.215.30.9116.315.01.34
Antonio Daniels220.000.50-0.500.03-114-1520.015.84.184.516.2-11.67
Gerard King220.000.50-0.500.03-114-1520.015.84.184.516.2-11.67
Brandon Williams120.000.50-0.500.03-114-1530.015.714.254.516.2-11.67
Andrew Gaze220.000.50-0.500.03-114-1520.015.84.184.516.2-11.67
Steve Kerr4952-0.040.54-0.590.10-518-2315.816.0-0.2115.017.1-2.06

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kornel David210.00-0.500.50-0.031-14154.516.2-11.6730.015.714.25
Corey Benjamin430.00-0.500.50-0.031-14159.716.2-6.4421.015.75.27
Dickey Simpkins2017-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-8315.716.0-0.2112.616.7-4.11
Keith Booth2423-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-11914.116.6-2.4815.016.2-1.17
Cory Carr3835-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-121115.016.6-1.6016.115.80.34
Ron Harper6263-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-10715.716.4-0.7716.314.91.45
Andrew Lang5251-0.22-0.280.070.11-11-2-917.314.13.1615.616.3-0.71
Mark Bryant4747-0.23-0.270.03-0.14-3-10716.515.31.2716.415.31.14
Brent Barry5656-0.24-0.260.010.02-9-4-516.315.21.0915.616.4-0.82
Randy Brown3934-0.26-0.24-0.030.09-12-1-1116.215.70.4615.116.4-1.23
Bill Wennington3029-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-9514.616.6-2.0015.616.0-0.43
Rusty LaRue1515-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.17-6-7116.115.90.2619.115.33.80
Toni Kukoc7171-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-2-916.613.62.9716.015.50.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 93, MIL 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,094.1%
LAL 103, CHI 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,094.0%
LAL 124, SAC 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,093.9%