NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	6.3 [563]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +14.4%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	1.4 [337]		LVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	26	56%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	18	52%	0.08	1	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.03	-0.04	14	47%	0.09	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	38%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	14	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	16	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	11	12%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	29.4	15.5	22.3	2.5	31.2	128.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +61.9%

IND -4.9%

IND -2.7%

IND -4.2%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	14.3	15.5	102.2	90.3	105.7
season	15.9	14.7		106.4	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	15.7	17.2	17.2	16.7
IND	16.7	13.7	14.1	12.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	77	75	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-4	19	17.4	13.2	4.23	14.0	15.5	-1.51
CJ Miles	50	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	16.0	17.5	-1.57	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Raja Bell	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-2	15	17.3	16.1	1.24	14.9	13.8	1.11
Andrei Kirilenko	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	18.0	14.1	3.89	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Devin Harris	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	9	-7	15.9	17.9	-2.05	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Derrick Favors	30	32	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	9	-7	14.5	17.7	-3.18	15.3	13.7	1.57
Earl Watson	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	2	7	17.9	15.9	2.05	14.9	13.9	0.99
Gordon Hayward	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	14	-17	14.3	17.8	-3.57	16.2	13.4	2.80
Francisco Elson	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	10	-9	12.3	17.3	-5.01	16.7	14.0	2.78
Paul Millsap	68	68	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	7	-3	17.5	14.4	3.13	13.7	15.8	-2.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	33	32	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.21	9	-20	29	14.7	14.0	0.65	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Josh McRoberts	47	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-9	7	13.4	15.2	-1.77	18.2	15.0	3.12
Jeff Foster	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-14	17	15.4	13.5	1.93	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Paul George	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	14.5	14.1	0.45	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Brandon Rush	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	13.6	15.1	-1.51	18.4	14.5	3.89
Dahntay Jones	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.2	13.9	1.29	13.1	18.2	-5.17
Tyler Hansbrough	39	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	16.0	13.0	2.96	14.5	18.2	-3.70
Danny Granger	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	13.8	15.7	-1.92	18.0	13.1	4.88
Roy Hibbert	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	7	-25	13.7	15.3	-1.61	17.8	14.8	2.94
Darren Collison	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	9	-29	14.0	14.7	-0.65	17.6	15.0	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHI 105, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
SAS 98, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.08,0	92.7%