NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.3 [795]		MVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): +13.8%
Houston Rockets	74		Comeback	1.2 [512]		LVP	Jonathan Bender (IND): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.04	0.05	15	85%	0.24	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	92%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	8	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	82%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	26	47%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	7	25%	-0.08	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	12	66%	0.11	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	27	50%	0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	7	45%	0.01	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.6	2.5	23.4	15.7	29.0	2.8	33.4	139.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.3%

HOU -1.0%

HOU -10.6%

IND +5.6%

IND +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.5	97.8	82.2	104.0
season	16.8	16.0		101.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	17.6	19.8	19.4	17.2
HOU	14.6	14.4	15.5	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	64	64	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.14	22	-9	31	16.7	18.4	-1.67	15.6	13.4	2.20
Jamaal Tinsley	66	66	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-6	25	17.1	17.4	-0.25	15.8	12.7	3.05
Jermaine O'Neal	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.01	17	-4	21	16.9	19.2	-2.38	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Jeff Foster	44	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	3	7	16.3	18.1	-1.75	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Scot Pollard	45	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	10	-7	18.1	16.3	1.75	15.2	14.7	0.51
Fred Jones	61	62	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	9	-5	18.0	15.5	2.48	14.5	16.0	-1.47
James Jones	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	8	-3	16.6	17.5	-0.90	15.4	14.8	0.66
Jonathan Bender	30	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	18	-23	18.3	16.6	1.71	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Michael Curry	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	17	-21	15.5	17.3	-1.78	16.0	14.9	1.07
Anthony Johnson	23	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	19	-25	17.4	17.1	0.25	12.7	15.8	-3.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-11	9	15.6	14.9	0.73	17.1	17.2	-0.15
Jon Barry	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	14.0	16.0	-1.98	18.8	15.5	3.28
Juwan Howard	66	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-13	13	14.9	15.3	-0.41	18.2	14.5	3.67
David Wesley	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-6	-1	15.4	13.9	1.50	16.1	20.6	-4.56
Scott Padgett	24	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	0	-13	15.3	14.9	0.41	14.5	18.2	-3.67
Yao Ming	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-2	-9	14.9	15.6	-0.73	17.2	17.1	0.15
Tracy McGrady	81	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.12	-13	0	-13	14.7	17.2	-2.48	17.5	14.4	3.11
Bob Sura	76	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	4	-21	15.5	12.2	3.29	16.9	18.5	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.5%
UTA 95, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
CHA 91, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.4%