inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 83 Excitement6.0 [581] MVPMartell Webster (WAS): +12.2%
Washington Wizards 93 Comeback2.2 [370] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -23.5%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Jenkins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,00.06-0.020.041070%0.053-0.05786%0.02
DeShawn Stevenson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Devin Harris-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.04-0.00657%0.062-0.08250%-0.01
Kyle Korver-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.00642%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Al Horford-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.011650%0.053-0.1000%0.00
Louis Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.05-0.031233%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Ivan Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.02630%-0.041-0.04875%0.02
Josh Smith-0.240,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.15-0.070.021334%-0.114-0.12633%-0.07

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.02-0.021058%0.151-0.03633%-0.06
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001257%0.081-0.024100%0.02
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.02-0.001152%0.093-0.09580%0.01
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.001100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00250%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.031644%0.032-0.05475%-0.01
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.01845%-0.031-0.02667%-0.01
Nene0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.00567%0.053-0.102100%0.01
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.000.011040%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.81.724.115.530.41.730.0132.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +26.5%
WAS +8.7%
WAS +9.0%
WAS +4.4%
WAS +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLWASNBAATLWASNBA
this game15.015.015.486.596.9104.1
season15.115.1102.698.8
opponent15.715.5101.2102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.416.013.115.815.0
WAS16.614.613.615.515.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ivan Johnson36360.03-0.530.56-0.218-182614.215.5-1.2214.615.2-0.69
DeShawn Stevenson1010-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-6219.814.55.3512.515.3-2.78
Devin Harris4445-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-131614.315.6-1.3615.814.31.44
John Jenkins2019-0.12-0.380.25-0.07-2-8614.815.1-0.2714.115.2-1.10
Zaza Pachulia3936-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-6214.015.7-1.7014.415.3-0.96
Kyle Korver5355-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.22-2-8615.115.00.1016.612.93.73
Louis Williams5553-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-122-1415.314.60.7813.117.3-4.19
Jeff Teague6770-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-9-1-815.114.80.3615.613.42.15
Al Horford7979-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.19-100-1015.711.83.8715.214.11.13
Josh Smith7777-0.550.05-0.59-0.02-188-2614.716.4-1.7615.015.0-0.01

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal78800.58-0.080.650.0219-92814.815.7-0.9015.213.91.29
Emeka Okafor49480.470.030.450.0016-62215.015.00.0216.014.01.94
Martell Webster52520.380.120.25-0.0314-41814.715.3-0.6515.514.41.15
A.J. Price52500.250.250.000.1346-216.213.52.7515.614.31.27
John Wall43460.250.25-0.000.0764213.815.9-2.1314.315.6-1.27
Nene53510.200.30-0.100.1137-415.514.41.0815.414.60.81
Trevor Booker18170.190.31-0.110.0555014.915.0-0.1212.915.5-2.59
Kevin Seraphin64650.190.31-0.120.22-111-1214.915.1-0.1614.516.2-1.70
Trevor Ariza44440.120.38-0.250.24-414-1815.314.70.6514.415.5-1.15
Jan Vesely811-0.060.56-0.610.03-313-1612.415.2-2.8515.514.90.60
Garrett Temple1916-0.080.58-0.650.19-919-2814.915.0-0.1213.915.2-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 89, HOU 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.96,1,1,194.2%
ORL 93, UTA 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.0%
CLE 98, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,194.0%